Pennington came up small last week against the Rams. Despite a sweet matchup, he passed for only 166 yards and zero TDs. He's now been held under 200 yards in two of his past three games. He has another great matchup this week against a Buffalo pass defense 205 yards a game. I like the matchup but Pennington's recent struggles make him risky. He's not a bad starter this week but if you can do better sit Pennington until he shows more consistency again.
Brown scored last week, but he didn't do much else, rushing for only 48 yards and failing to catch a pass. He's been held under 50 yards rushing in three of his past four games and has only two receptions in his last three. This isn't an easy matchup as Buffalo allows 109.8 rushing yards a game. So Brown is best suited to be flex play this week.
Williams outperformed Ronnie Brown in terms of yardage last week, rushing for 54 yards on 12 carries. He's had double-digit carries in three of his past four games but has only topped 55 yards rushing once in that span. He's only a flex play this week in larger leagues and not a particularly enticing one.
Like most of the Dolphins, Ginn came up small in a great matchup against the Rams last week, catching only four passes for 55 yards. On the plus side, he's caught at least four passes and topped 50 yards receiving in each of his past four seasons so his floor isn't low at the present time. The Bills' secondary has major issues so Ginn could strike for a big play and a TD this week. He's a solid WR3 with upside.
Bess did a fine job filling in for the injured Greg Camarillo last week, catching six passes for 84 yards. He's caught 11 passes in the past two games and is a strong WR3 option in PPR leagues again this week against a woeful Buffalo secondary. Start him in that spot with confidence.
Carpenter had a fine day last week, converting all three of his FG attempts in the win over the Rams. That was a huge improvement over the previous three games when he failed to kick a FG in two of them. He'll get at least two FG attempts this week in Toronto so he's a solid starting option in larger leagues.
The Dolphins continue to underwhelm against weak offenses. They showed little against a bad St. Louis offense last week and even though the Bills are struggling on offense, Miami's defense isn't looking all that enticing this week. The Dolphins give up 21.4 points per game. They're good for some sack, but they lack big-play production. Find another option if you can.
Losman stepped in for the injured Trent Edwards last week and, not surprisingly, stunk against the Niners. He threw for only 93 yards and failed to lead a touchdown drive as the Bills were humiliated at home. Losman could start this week with Edwards' status iffy but he's a poor fantasy option even though Miami's pass defense stinks (233 yards allowed per game). Even if you're in a J.P. Losman-Only fantasy league you should find another option this week.
Lynch had a huge game in Week 13 as he tore up the 49ers for a season-high 134 yards. Miami's run defense has been solid (97 yards a game), but Steven Jackson ran all over them last week and Julius Jones had a big game against them a few weeks ago. So this isn't necessarily a matchup to fear. Lynch may not have a high ceiling but he'll get plenty of carries and will be no worse than a solid RB2.
Jackson did little last week against the 49ers, rushing for only eight yards on five carries and adding two receptions. He's involved in the Bills' offense -- especially as a third-down RB – but he doesn't get enough touches to merit starting status. Don't reach for him in this all-important week.
Evans had his second straight strong performance in Week 13, catching seven passes for 80 yards against the Niners. His upside is extremely limited should the talentless Losman start at QB. So that's something to consider even though the matchup is clearly in Evans' favor given Miami's lack of talent in the passing game.
Reed had his typical line last week against San Francisco, catching five passes for 58 yards. He's a modest play in larger PPR leagues because he's usually good for 4-5 receptions a game. But he doesn't score much and he doesn't make plays downfield so his yardage potential is small. If 4 catches for 45+ yards will thrill you, then by all means start Reed this week.
Lindell had a miserable game in Week 13, as he missed two of his three FG attempts. That came one week after he went 4-for-4 against the Chiefs. He's a good kicker so he's not worth dumping just because of one bad game. He has some upside this week so if you need to reach for him in larger leagues he's not a bad option.
The Bills had looked good for their fantasy owners in Weeks 11 and 12 but they laid an egg against the 49ers in Week 13. They only gave up 10 points, but there were no big plays to bail out a putrid offense. They give up 21.6 points per game for the season and struggle mightily against the pass. They'll have their hands full with Chad Pennington so don't turn here if you need a strong defense with upside this week.