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Fantasy Player Projections

 
Arizona Cardinals
Gillette Stadium | Sunday, December 21 | 1:00 p.m. EST (Fox)
Pick: Patriots 31, Cardinals 27
New England Patriots
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBKurt Warner
250 pass yards, 2 pass TD, 1 INT
What the heck has happened to Warner down the stretch? In four of his last five games, he's thrown just one TD pass and during that time he has 7 TD passes and 7 INTs. Last week in the demoralizing loss to Minnesota, Warner completed 29-of-45 passes for 270 yards and a TD with another INT. He was also sacked four times and he's been awful in four previous East Coast early Sunday games. The Patriots have given up 26 TD passes this year, but look for Warner's struggles to continue again this week.
RBTim Hightower
4 rec, 20 rec yards, 50 rush yards, 1 rush TD
The Falcons didn't even try to run against the Vikings last week, and Hightower was a major non-factor in that game, rushing only five times for 20 yards and adding 20 yards on five receptions. Hightower has only 147 yards rushing in his last six games and is a very risky fantasy play in Week 16 at New England.
RBJ.J. Arrington
4 rec, 30 rec yards, 20 rush yards
Arrington is becoming more and more of a factor as a third-down receiving back, but he still shouldn't be active on any fantasy playoff roster this week. Last week he had two rushes for 23 yards and seven receptions for 48 yards, but don't expect similar production this week on the road.
WRLarry Fitzgerald
6 rec, 75 yards, 1 TD
Fitzgerald has had at least five catches in every game since Week 2 this year and last week against the Vikings he finished with five catches for 52 yards. It wasn't a great game, but Fitzgerald continues to be the top target in this offense and he should have an even better game this week against a Patriots' pass defense that ranks 15th in the NFL.
WRAnquan Boldin
6 rec, 70 yards, 1 TD
After a torrid start, Boldin has been extremely quiet lately, failing to score in each of the last three games and catching just one TD pass in the last five games. Q was limited to 34 yards on six catches in last week's loss to Minnesota as Warner was not at his best again. The Cardinals need to get Boldin more active in this offense soon or it coule be a one-and-done in the playoffs.
WRSteve Breaston
5 rec, 60 yards
Breaston continues to be a worthy play each week in Point-Per-Reception leagues as he's approaching 1,000 yards, but he's brutal in TD-heavy leagues as he has just one score in his last eight games. Breaston had four catches last week against Minnesota for 46 yards and has 909 receiving yards this year. Expect similar production from this possession receiver.
WRJerheme Urban
2 rec, 20 yards
Urban scored his third touchdown of the season last week vs. Minnesota as he took a short pass 50 yards down the sideline for a score to open the second half. He finished with three catches for 82 yards, but remains too hit-or-miss to be a starter in this week's championship game.
KNeil Rackers
3 PATs, 2 FGs
Rackers was limited to two extra points last week, the second time that's happened in the last three weeks. He's still a worthy fantasy play in Week 16, however, as the Patriots have already given up 302 points this season.
Defense
2 sacks, 1 Fumble
After a fast start, the Cardinals' defense has been a dud and it hit rock bottom last week by allowing four passing TDs to Tarvaris Jackson. The D has only 11 interceptions this season and 29 sacks and it won't produce much this week at New England.
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBMatt Cassel
240 pass yards, 3 pass TD
Cassel torched the Raiders for 218 yards and four TDs last week and suddenly looks like one of the best QB plays for Week 16. The Cardinals rank 16th in the NFL vs. the pass, but they also are the leader in TD passes allowed, giving up 31 in 14 games. Look for Cassel and the Patriots to go to the air early and often as they try to beat the Cardinals at their own game.
RBSammy Morris
1 rec, 10 rec yards, 75 rush yards, 1 rush TD
Morris topped 100 yards for the second time this season and scored for the third straight game as he burned the Raiders for 117 yards and a score on just 14 carries. He remains a good play this week as well because the Cardinals rank 14th against the run and they will struggle to keep up with the Patriots this week. Look for Morris to keep that scoring streak going with another TD this week.
RBLaMont Jordan
40 rush yards
Jordan got some revenge against his old team last week as he rushed 12 times for 97 yards and a TD. He's not a worthy fantasy play in Week 16 as he will still back up Sammy Morris, but it was good to see him get back in the groove last week.
RBKevin Faulk
6 rec, 50 rec yards, 1 rec TD, 30 rush yards
Faulk continues to be a worthy Flex play down the stretch as he has already set a career best with 54 receptions. He rushed for 45 yards on six carries last week at Oakland and added six receptions for 66 yards and a TD. He now has 24 receptions in his last four games and will excel in that role again this week vs. Arizona.
WRRandy Moss
5 rec, 70 yards, 1 TD
Moss torched his old mates last week in Oakland with a pair of TD catches as he finished with five catches for 67 yards. Moss had TD catches of 20 and 9 yards as he now has 10 TD catches on the season. The Cardinals have given up a league-high 31 TD passes to date, so look for Moss to find paydirt again this week.
WRWes Welker
7 rec, 70 yards, 1 TD
Welker topped the 100-reception total last week and scored his second touchdown of the season at Oakland as he continues to be one of the best fantasy wideouts in the game. Welker finished with six catches for 69 yards and a TD as he now has 102 catches for the season. Keep him in your starting lineup as he's a guarantee for at least six catches per week.
WRJabar Gaffney
4 rec, 40 yards
Gaffney failed to catch a single pass last week at Oakland and shouldn't be active this week for the fantasy playoffs as he's just too hit-or-miss in this offense.
KStephen Gostkowski
4 PATs, 1 FG
Gostkowski was "limited" to seven extra points last week to give him 124 points for the season, but he's a great play this week as the Cardinals have already given up 358 points this season.
Defense
2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 Fumble
The Patriots' defense hasn't been as fantasy worthy as in past years, but it still has 23 turnovers and 26 sacks in 14 games. This could be a great game for the Patriots' D against a turnover-prone QB Kurt Warner.
 
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