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Fantasy Player Projections

 
Jacksonville Jaguars
M&T Bank Stadium | Sunday, December 28 | 4:15 p.m. EST (CBS)
Pick: Ravens 24, Jaguars 13
Baltimore Ravens
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBDavid Garrard
205 pass yards, 2 pass TD, 2 INT
Garrard has had back-to-back strong performances. He threw for 238 yards and 2 TDs in a win over Green Bay and then passed for 329 yards and a TD while adding a rushing touchdown in last week's loss to the Colts. The gravy train could end this week, however, as the Ravens are much stronger defensively than either of those two teams. Baltimore gives up only 183.2 passing yards a game. Garrard will likely have to throw it a lot this week, but it's far too risky to trust him in this tough matchup. Look elsewhere this week for your starter.
RBMaurice Jones-Drew
5 rec, 45 rec yards, 55 rush yards
Jones-Drew didn't score last week but he was still extremely productive. He rushed for 91 yards and caught seven passes for 71 more yards in the loss to the Colts. This is a brutal matchup for him this week as the Ravens rank second in the league in rushing defense (78.9 yards a game). He'll remain very active in the passing game, however, so that will enable him to have quality RB2 value in PPR formats. But in standard scoring leagues it's not out of the question to consider sitting Jones-Drew if you have a productive option with a better matchup.
WRDennis Northcutt
6 rec, 75 yards, 1 TD
Where has this come from? Northcutt followed up his huge Week 15 game against the Packers with another huge game in Week 16 against the Colts (8-101-1). He had a whopping 13 targets last week and with 21 the past two games it's clear Garrard favors him in the passing game. This is a very tough matchup this week but Northcutt will continue to see plenty of targets so he's viable as a WR3 with WR2 upside - especially in PPR leagues.
WRReggie Williams
2 rec, 20 yards
Williams has failed to help fill the void created by Matt Jones' suspension. He caught only one pass last week and has 12 receptions in his past four games. Combine his poor production with a tough matchup and he's not someone you should be starting in any league this week.
TEMarcedes Lewis
4 rec, 45 yards
Lewis had a strong game in Week 16, catching six passes for 55 yards against the Colts. He is starting to get more involved to close out the season as he has 14 receptions in his last four games. Unfortunately, he's only topped 45 yards receiving once in that span and he has only two TD grabs this season. So his upside is extremely limited - especially against this defense. He's just a so-so option in larger PPR leagues this week.
KJosh Scobee
1 PAT, 2 FGs
Scobee continues to limp toward the season's finish line. He has only three FGs in his last four games and has scored just 17 points in that span. The Jaguars will struggle against an elite Baltimore defense so don't expect Scobee to deliver much production this week.
Defense
1 sack
The Jags have little going defensively. They give up 22.7 points per game and struggle against both the pass and run. They don't rush the passer well and will have their hands full with Baltimore's balanced offense. They're a poor fantasy option this week.
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBJoe Flacco
225 pass yards, 2 pass TD
After a brief hot stretch, Flacco has cooled off considerably. He has been held under 150 yards passing in each of the past three games and has thrown only two TDs in that stretch. The good news is he has a great matchup this week against a poor Jacksonville pass defense (218.8 yards a game). The Ravens will be able to run it all day so Flacco won't post gaudy numbers but he's looking much better than usual and has a good chance to throw for 1-2 TDs this week. If you need him in a larger league, he has some upside.
RBLe'Ron McClain
85 rush yards, 1 rush TD
McClain tore the heart out of the Cowboys last week with his 82-yard TD in the closing minutes. That helped him finish with 139 yards rushing, his first 100-yard performance of the season. The Ravens will run at will this week against a Jaguars' run defense that allows 105.5 yards a game, so McClain is looking good if you need him as a RB2. Start him with confidence in that role this week.
RBWillis McGahee
3 rec, 15 rec yards, 50 rush yards
McGahee was having a lackluster game last Thursday night against Dallas before ripping off a 77-yard TD run late in the game. That was the longest run of McGahee's career and helped him post his first 100-yard game since Week 10. McGahee hasn't been very productive other than long run as he combined for only 76 yards rushing in Weeks 11-15. So he isn't the safest RB option despite the favorable matchup. But he's not a bad flex play in larger leagues since the Ravens will run it early and often and McGahee will get at least 8-10 carries.
WRDerrick Mason
7 rec, 90 yards, 1 TD
Mason's fine fantasy season continued last week as he caught six passes for 66 yards and a TD in the win over Dallas. He has scored in three of his last four games and has at least 60 yards receiving in three of those games. This is a fine matchup for him to exploit as the Ravens will be able to pass at will against Jacksonville's woeful secondary. Mason is a rock-solid WR3 with WR2 upside this week.
WRMark Clayton
5 rec, 75 yards, 1 TD
The book on Mark Clayton is simple - unless the matchup is very favorable, you sit him. The matchup this week is very favorable so this is one of the few weeks where you can dust Clayton off your bench and feel good about starting him. The Jags are vulnerable to big plays in the passing game and that plays into Clayton's hands. Look for Flacco to take 1-2 shots at least downfield to Clayton on Sunday with a touchdown grab very possible.
TETodd Heap
3 rec, 25 yards
Heap had another quiet game last week, catching only two passes against the Cowboys. He has only five receptions in his last three games and has only 32 catches the entire season. This is a fine matchup but Heap hasn't been involved in this passing for most of the season so it would be unwise to reach for him this week. Look elsewhere for your fantasy starter.
KMatt Stover
3 PATs, 1 FG
Stover is on a hot streak. He booted four FGs last week against Dallas and has made seven in his last two games. He has also scored 40 points in his last four. This is a very favorable matchup for the Baltimore offense so Stover isn't a bad reach by any means given his recent productivity.
Defense
3 sacks, 2 INT
This is one of those dream matchups for the Ravens. At home against a weak offense with a QB who has had some miserable games this season. The Ravens surrender only 15.8 points per game and Jacksonville will struggle to put points on the board this week. David Garrard has played well of late but he's been turnover prone this season and he'll struggle against this standout defense. Start the Ravens with confidence.
 
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