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Fantasy Player Projections

 
New England Patriots
Ralph Wilson Stadium | Sunday, December 28 | 1:00 p.m. EST (CBS)
Pick: Patriots 27, Bills 20
Buffalo Bills
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBMatt Cassel
280 pass yards, 2 pass TD, 1 INT
Matt Cassel has become a fantasy legend with his late-season heroics this year. During his last six games, he's thrown 14 TD passes and topped 340 yards three times. He now has eight TD passes in his last three games after completing 20-of-36 passes for 345 yards and three TDs last week in the 47-7 romp over Arizona. He didn't throw any TD passes in the Week 10 20-10 win over Buffalo, but he did run for a score. Look for much better numbers this week as the Patriots need a win to have a shot at the divisional title.
RBSammy Morris
2 rec, 20 rec yards, 70 rush yards, 1 rush TD
Morris saw action in just 26 plays last week against Arizona as he split time with Lamont Jordan, but he led the Patriots with 88 yards rushing on 15 carries and added 45 yards on two receptions. It was his first game since Week 12 that he hadn't scored a touchdown, but keep him in your starting lineup this week as he should get another goal-line score in Week 17.
RBLaMont Jordan
60 rush yards
Jordan saw action in more plays than Sammy Morris did last week against Arizona and even scored on a pair of goal-line carries in the first quarter. He finished with 78 yards and two TDs on 20 carries and now has three rushing TDs in his last two games. It's hard to figure out this backfield at times, but look for Jordan and Morris to split carries once again this week against a Bills' run defense that ranks 19th in the NFL.
RBKevin Faulk
5 rec, 50 rec yards, 1 rec TD, 20 rush yards
Even though the Patriots already have two fulltime backs, Faulk is still a valuable fantasy play in Week 17 because of his receiving skills. He's had 30 catches in the last six games, with two of those going for TDs. He was limited to just three catches for 27 yards last week against Arizona, but one of those was a 15-yard TD reception. Look for another productive day from this veteran back.
WRRandy Moss
5 rec, 70 yards, 1 TD
Moss enters the last game of the season just five yards short of 1,000. He was limited to just two catches for 87 yards last week against Arizona, but one of them was a 76-yard TD strike. Moss now has three TDs in his last two games and 11 for the season. He was limited to five catches for 53 yards in the Week 10 win over Buffalo, but will find paydirt in this rematch.
WRWes Welker
7 rec, 80 yards, 1 TD
Welker caught an 11-yard TD pass last week against Arizona and then made a snow angel in the end zone. Welker certainly had reason to celebrate as he scored for the second straight week and finished with seven catches for 68 yards. Welker had nine catches for 107 yards in the Week 10 win over Buffalo and already has 14 games with six or more receptions. This will be game No. 15 with 6+ catches as Welker will have another productive day.
WRJabar Gaffney
4 rec, 50 yards
One week after being held without a catch at Oakland, Gaffney finished with five catches for 90 yards against Arizona. He's not consistent enough for fantasy teams to start him each week, but when he's part of the offense he's been pretty good.
KStephen Gostkowski
3 PATs, 2 FGs
Gostkowski set a new career-record with 141 points through Week 16 as he converted all four FG attempts last week to finish with 17 points. He now has 100+ points three straight seasons and should have an active day again this week at Buffalo.
Defense
2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 Fumble
The Patriots almost had a shutout last week vs. Arizona as they came away with three sacks and two forced turnovers. Look for a similar effort this week at Buffalo as the Patriots enter the game with 29 sacks and 26 forced turnovers.
Pos.PlayerProjection
QBTrent Edwards
150 pass yards, 1 pass TD, 1 INT
After missing the last two weeks with a groin injury, Edwards started last week at Denver and led the Bills to victory, completing 17-of-25 passes for 193 yards and a TD. Edwards struggled against the Patriots in the Week 10 20-10 loss at New England as he completed just 13-of-23 passes for 120 yards, one TD and two INTs. He will need to be much sharper this week if the Bills hope to reach the .500 mark with an upset win. Don't expect it to happen.
RBMarshawn Lynch
30 rush yards
Lynch aggravated his shoulder injury in the first half at Denver last week and didn't return to the game, even though he had already rushed for 34 yards and a TD. He's questionable for this week and could play a limited role if any in this week's game. Proceed with caution here as Lynch has really taken a pounding this year.
RBFred Jackson
4 rec, 40 rec yards, 60 rush yards, 1 rush TD
Jackson stepped in for the injured Marshawn Lynch last week at Denver and made two huge plays which led to the Bills' 30-23 upset win. He finished with 43 yards and a TD on 10 rushes and added 70 yards on three receptions, one of them coming on a nice 65-yard catch-and-run play that gave the Bills a 23-20 lead. Jackson will step in for Lynch if needed this week, but the Patriots rank 12th in the NFL vs. the run and have allowed only eight rushing TDs, so temper your enthusiasm here.
WRLee Evans
3 rec, 30 yards
Evans has been a bust down the stretch for fantasy owners, catching just nine passes for 64 yards over the last three weeks. He was limited to two catches for 19 yards last week at Denver and now hasn't scored a TD since Week 7. The Patriots held him to two catches for 22 yards in Week 10 and there's no reason to think he will have a big game this week against the Patriots' 15th ranked pass defense.
WRJosh Reed
5 rec, 50 yards, 1 TD
Reed had his best game of the season last week at Denver, catching nine passes for 79 yards. He's still nothing more than a good possession receiver, but give him credit for finding the openings last week at Denver. He missed the Week 10 loss at New England with an injury, but will be back for this game and may even find the end zone.
WRRoscoe Parrish
1 rec, 10 yards
Parrish had one catch for 14 yards last week at Denver, but shouldn't be active in any fantasy playoff roster this week.
TERobert Royal
1 rec, 10 yards
Royal had one catch for eight yards last week at Denver, but shouldn't be active in any fantasy playoff roster this week.
KRian Lindell
2 PATs, 2 FGs
Lindell set a new career-best with 124 points by converting all three FG attempts last week at Denver as he scored 12 points. Lindell has had a solid season as he's topped 100 points for the fifth time in his career.
Defense
2 sacks, 1 Fumble
The Bills used two big turnovers last week to beat the Broncos 30-23, but this hasn't been a solid fantasy defense this year. The Bills have just 10 INTs and 23 sacks in 15 games and will need to get pressure on QB Matt Cassel to pull off the upset at home.
 
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