Ralph Wilson Stadium | Sunday, September 12 | 1:00 p.m. EST (CBS)
Pick: Dolphins 27, Bills 17
265 pass yards, 2 pass TD, 5 rush yards, 1 INTThe Bills did a good job shutting down the pass a year ago but really struggled against the run, so expect Henne to hand the ball off a lot. His value will be higher in upcoming weeks.
4 rec, 40 rec yards, 1 rec TD, 90 rush yards, 1 rush TDBrown ran for 115 yards and two touchdowns in his lone game against Buffalo last season. The Bills finished 30th in the league in rush defense a year ago, so Brown should be able to approach those numbers again in Week 1.
2 rec, 10 rec yards, 50 rush yards, 0 rush TDLook for the Dolphins to feature the running game in Week 1 against a weak Bills run defense. Williams won't put up big numbers with Ronnie Brown back in the fold, but he will get his carries and could get the ball on the goalline.
8 rec, 90 yards, 0 TDMarshall will receive plenty of attention from the Bills secondary, but he should see plenty of targets from Chad Henne as well.
4 rec, 50 yards, 0 TDBess will be the Dolphins' third receiver, which makes him a weak option for the opener given the Dolphins' preseason struggles in the passing game.
4 rec, 50 yards, 0 TDHartline will be the starter opposite Brandon Marshall, but don't expect big numbers with the Dolphins likely to focus on running the ball in the opener,
2 rec, 15 yards, 0 TDFasano will likely spend a lot of time blocking in the opener and will need to find the end zone to have any real impact.
3 PATs, 2 FGsCarpenter averaged just five points per game against the Bills last season, but Miami should move the ball easily this time around.
5 sacks, 2 INT, 0 Fumbles, 0 TDExpect the Dolphins to put some pressure on the Bills and record a few sacks. However, they are not a great fantasy option because they have trouble forcing turnovers.
170 pass yards, 1 pass TD, 5 rush yards, 2 INTEdwards is coming off a strong preseason, while the Dolphins didn't really have a great pass defense in 2009. That said, Edwards' offensive line is green and his only proven receiver is Lee Evans. He'll have a decent game -- just don't expect a great one.
2 rec, 35 rec yards, 80 rush yards, 1 rush TDSpiller will likely start based on Fred Jackson's hand injury. However, Jackson is expected to play, and Spiller will also share time with Marshawn Lynch. Spiller is the best back to own this week, but we don't see him getting more than 10-15 carries.
1 rec, 10 rec yards, 25 rush yards, 0 rush TDIt looks like C.J. Spiller will technically get the start in Week 1 because Jackson (hand) isn't 100 percent. We're confident last season's 1,062-yard rusher will play, but he might be limited to a dozen or so carries amid a messy Week 1 situation.
1 rec, 10 rec yards, 20 rush yardsLynch is the No. 3 back behind C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson right now, so the best you can probably hope for is 5-10 carries and some goal-line action.
3 rec, 60 yards, 1 TDEvans will surely see plenty of attention with so little talent behind him. However, coach Chan Gailey did a good job moving him around the field this preseason, which resulted in some big plays. We can see at least one of those big plays this week.
2 rec, 20 yards, 0 TDJohnson has the No. 2 starter job, but he's unproven and really is third in the WR pecking order. Expect Johnson to see a few targets, especially if the Dolphins focus most of their attention on Lee Evans, but probably nothing more than that.
1 rec, 20 yards, 0 TDParrish, the clear-cut slot guy after a strong summer, will have a chance to make a big play or two against the Dolphins, but he's not the type of receiver that will normally get you five or more catches.
1 rec, 15 yards, 0 TDStupar is the starting TE until Shawn Nelson gets back from suspension, but that mean you should start him in a week with no byes. He'll probably get a few targets, but will also spend some time helping a green offensive line with blocking duties.
2 PATs, 1 FGThis is the steady Lindell's eighth opener for the Bills. He's never one of the league's top point producers, but he's a decent middle-tier guy who's usually consistent in getting at least a handful of points, especially with decent early season weather.
3 sacks, 1 INT, 0 Fumbles, 0 TDThe secondary is excellent, so we'd be surprised if they didn't pick off Chad Henne at least once, but beyond that this is not a place to look for sacks or yardage prevention until all the guys up front start to master their new positions in the 3-4.