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The QB-ratings game

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Posted: Thursday January 07, 1999 02:34 PM

 

Good morning students, and welcome to the study-help session for Stupid Stats 101. Those of you who have been awake during the past semester -- yes, I'm speaking directly to you, Mr. Fleming -- will note that your final exam consists of calculating just one sports stat: that dreaded, ugly, nasty NFL quarterback rating.

Before we begin, let's look back at our syllabus and review the stats we've already studied. OK, there's hockey's goals-against average , which is calculated by multiplying the number of goals allowed by 60 and then dividing by the total number of minutes played. And who can tell me the formula for baseball's ERA ? Hmmm. Bueller? Bueller? Anyone? It's earned runs, times nine, divided by innings pitched.

Remember you won't be responsible for any NBA stats because, well, that league doesn't exist anymore.

Also, people, let's just skip right over the section on the Bowl Championship Series. Let me just say this: I wish whoever came up with that equation would put his Spock ears back on, say goodbye to his parents upstairs and beam himself to another planet where the only sports are synchronized swimming and Ping Pong.

With that out of the way, let's begin.

(Mr. Fleming and the two gentlemen in the back dressed in black-and-white striped shirts and white pants, please wake up!)

OK, on to the NFL's quarterback rating, the granddaddy of all stupid-ass stats. This is a prime example of how some guy wearing Coke-bottle glasses, a pocket protector and white socks can sit in a cubicle deep inside the NFL offices and extract his revenge on the rest of the coordinated, dandruff-free world. But you must know it to pass this class. Now, the basic elements you should use to measure a quarterback are all in this system: Completion percentage, average yards gained, percent of TD passes and interceptions per attempt. Simple, right? Just add 'em up and give us a number. That's basically what the NCAA does.

Not the NFL, however. To figure out an NFL passer's rating you must take these four elements and do the following simple 10 steps. Unless, of course, you are Bobby Hoying and can figure out your own rating using your fingers and toes. Everyone else will need a calculator, or IBM's Deep Blue, if you have access to it. Now, I know I'm just a quirky, free-thinking college professor in worn-out corduroys and a turtleneck, but I swear, this is the actual formula the NFL uses:

1) First, take the player's completion percentage, subtract 30 and multiply by point-oh-five. If the number falls between 0 and 2.375 the player gets that number. If you get a number less than zero the player (in most cases, Ryan Leaf ) gets nothing and if you get a number greater than 2.375 the player is awarded 2.375.

2) Then, take total yards passing, divide by attempts and then subtract three from that number and multiply the result by point-two-five. Again, if you get zero or less give the player nothing, and if you come up with 2.375 the player gets 2.375.

3) Take a deep breath, rub your temples, consider giving up on the NFL to enjoy something less complicated -- like breaking missile-launch codes or figuring out what the meat is in the cafeteria on Wednesdays.

4) Take the number of TD passes divided by attempts and multiply by point-two. Again, if you get a number greater than 2.375, realize that you are not calculating Kordell Stewart 's stats and give 2.375.

5) Divide the number of interceptions by passing attempts and multiply that number by point-two-five and then subtract the result from 2.375.

6) Add the four numbers together.

7) At this point the NFL referees in the back of the auditorium can just stop calculating and hand in their papers. Accuracy, shmaccuracy, right guys?

8) Divide by six.

9) Yell at the cat. This doesn't have anything to do with the QB rating -- I just don't like cats.

10) Finally, multiply by 100.

You did it! You're done! You actually figured out how to calculate an NFL quarterback rating. Congratulations. Good luck on the final. Oh, by the way, it's now March. The season -- and the semester -- ended two months ago.

Spanning the strange and wonderful world of sports, the Flem File has visited a nudist colony, investigated nasal strips, tried out for the Olympic bobsled team and endured injury and humiliation at the NFL Experience. What, or who, should we riff on next week? If you've got a suggestion, a comment or a question, don't just sit there, bring it on! Click here to send an e-mail to Flem, or address it yourself: flemfile@aol.com.

 
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