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INSIDE BASEBALL

High Schoolers: Avoid the Draft

by Tim Crothers

Posted: Wed June 10, 1998

 
Sports Illustrated Of the 1,445 players selected in last week's first-year player draft, 805 were chosen out of college and 629 were selected out of high school. According to research done by agent Scott Boras, the college players have a much greater chance of reaching the major leagues, achieving longevity in the game and reaping vast financial rewards. "The best thing major league baseball can do is to stop drafting all these high school players," Boras says.

While the number of players drafted out of high school is only marginally lower than the number who are drafted out of college, collegians make up the vast majority in the majors. According to Boras, of the 773 players on major league rosters on Opening Day of the '97 season, 450 (58.2%) were drafted out of college and 169 (21.9%) came straight from high school. (Free-agent players from other countries are considered separately.) Of those 773 players, 248 had amassed six or more years of major league service time; 148 of those (59.7%) were college players and 57 (23%) were from high school.

When it comes to earning power, time spent in college helps in baseball just as it does in the everyday working world. Boras says that a total of 289 players had contracts worth $1 million or more for the '97 season; 165 (57.1%) were college players, while 69 (23.9%) came from high school. Of the 54 players who had contracts paying $5 million a year or more, 30 (55.6%) were former college players and 13 (24.1%) came out of high school.

The trend remains the same even among the top prospects, the first-round selections in the draft. In a study of first-round picks in the drafts from 1983 to '91, there were 234 players chosen, 132 from college and 102 from high school, yet their earnings through the '96 season were skewed significantly toward the college players. Nearly four times as many college players had earned $10 million in their careers.

Boras's critics contend that he trumpets these figures hoping to push the market toward more established college players who will command larger signing bonuses, but Boras argues that he is living proof of the importance of a college education for those players who don't become stars. Boras played college baseball at Pacific and was drafted by the Cardinals before three knee injuries prematurely ended his career.

"Baseball's message is to sign early and make a lot of money early, but the numbers show that most high school players don't reach the major leagues at all, and those who make it don't arrive any sooner," says Boras, who favors stricter limits on the number of players drafted each year. (This year's draft was limited to 50 rounds for the first time.) "Teams spend millions of dollars taking chances on undeveloped high school talent. About 95 percent of those high school kids end up doomed to a lesser standard of life with no education and a pink slip after four years, while baseball ends up with a big bill."

To its credit, baseball has had a scholarship program in place since 1962, and in that time nearly 9,000 players have negotiated funds for college into their contracts at a cost to date of about $28 million.

Tell us what you think. Sound off on the CNN/SI Message Boards.

Issue date: June 15, 1998

 
  OTHER NOTES
 
Art of the Steal

Tiger in A Trance

High Schoolers: Avoid the Draft

El Presidente's Campaign

Cooperstown Calling

The Buzz

What were they Thinking?

The Little Show

Spotlight: Rolando Arrojo

 
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