Dr. Z's Forecast
by Paul Zimmerman
Posted: Wed October 13, 1998
Is it my imagination, or will 1998 go down as the Year of the
Quarterback Controversy? Maybe controversy is too strong a word.
How about dilemma? Or puzzlement? I can't seem to remember a
season in which so many coaches were trying to figure out which
guy deserves to run the show.
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The Bengals should get a steady dose of the Oilers' George, who
averages 21.4 carries per game.
(Winslow Townson)
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Philadelphia and Washington have played musical chairs with their
quarterbacks. Ask the fans in Buffalo whom they'd like to see
starting and they'd tell you Doug Flutie, who has merely been
great in relief of Rob Johnson. In Detroit, Scott Mitchell was
benched for rookie Charlie Batch. The Glenn Foley-Vinny
Testaverde soap opera plays out every week for the Jets, and in
New Orleans the fans are in love with Danny Wuerffel—well, at
least they were before Sunday's game against the 49ers—but where
would he be if Heath Shuler hadn't gone down with his foot injury
and Billy Joe Hobert hadn't torn his Achilles tendon in the
opener? And on and on.
It sure is weird, isn't it? Speaking of weird, here are my picks
for this week:
Until the Saints' offensive line can figure out how to stand up
to a big league rush, I can't see this team beating anyone who
seriously gets after the passer. Atlanta certainly does; the
Falcons pressure the quarterback in the purest fashion, with a
nicely coordinated rush from their front four. If the Saints
could slow those guys down with a running game it would be
different, but who knows which New Orleans rushing attack will
show up, the one that hammered the Panthers and the Colts, or the
one that produced no more than 39 yards on three occasions,
including a season-low 32 yards against the 49ers. I've got
Atlanta winning this one with another flurry of sacks, but what
scares me is that the pick looks too easy.
The Giants felt the wrath of the Falcons' rush on Sunday night,
and now they face another team whose front four is really coming
together—Arizona. History says the Cardinals, who have lost 13 of
their last 14 to the Giants in the Meadowlands, have no shot.
Never liked historical handicapping, though, so let's go with the
upset: Cardinals in a squeaker. For those of you who are worried
about home field advantage, New York—make that New Jersey—is one
of the few places where the crowd noise doesn't really kick in
consistently. Once the enemy gets a touchdown ahead, the fans get
really quiet.
On paper the Jets-Patriots Monday-nighter looks like a blowout,
based on what happened last weekend, but the Jets are an
emotional yo-yo of a team who save their best efforts for
division foes. The Jets' strongest game this year? The 20-9 win
over the Dolphins. Second best? The 44-6 victory over
Indianapolis, a team that New York usually overlooks while it's
concentrating on the big picture. I guarantee you the Jets will
be ready for Bill Parcells' old team. Parcells wouldn't stand for
a repeat of the effort they turned in against the Rams on Sunday.
Only the locale leads me to the Patriots. In the Meadowlands I'd
go the other way.
The most impressive win last weekend was the Bengals' defeat of
the Steelers. Best play I've seen all year: the Neil O'Donnell to
Carl Pickens fake-spike touchdown pass, which mystified even
Cincinnati's linemen, who had not been informed. This opens up a
whole new can of possibilities. Why not run a series that way?
The quarterback keeps the play to himself—O.K., maybe he tells
one other guy—and just lets everybody else on the offense figure
out what's going to happen. The ultimate in deception. Naked
bootlegs, the hidden-ball play, the Fumblerooskie. It would be an
offense straight out of Mad magazine, and I, for one, would pay
big money to see it. But back to reality. The Bengals gave up 257
yards on the ground to the Steelers, and Tennessee seems to have
rediscovered its running game. Look for the Oilers to win behind
Eddie George and the infantry.
The quick-pick counter: The Vikings will hand the Redskins loss
number seven. The Ravens will make it much closer than the
Steelers would like, but I still like a tight win for home-team
Pittsburgh. Finally, in the day's biggie, the rampaging Eagles
will recapture the verve and swagger of the old NFC East with an
upset of the Chargers on the West Coast.
Issue date: October 19, 1998
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