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One coach dares to be different
Paul Zimmerman has covered the NFL for Sports Illustrated since 1979. His exclusive online column appears each Friday.
Posted: Fri November 14, 1997 Would you like to know who my coach of the week is? Zaven Yaralian. Who? Says which? Zaven Yaralian is the New Orleans Saints' defensive coach. I give him a major share of the credit for the most shocking upset of the 1997 season, New Orleans' 13-10 victory over the Raiders in Oakland last Sunday. OK, you say, it's the Raiders, big deal. But, they do have a lot of attacking weapons, and they ranked fifth in the league in offense going in, and three weeks before the Saints got them, they beat the Broncos.
The defensive coach says, "Well, you've gotta play the percentages," and looks at you like you're a real idiot for not being able to figure this out for yourself. But never in my life have I talked to a defensive player who liked this philosophy. Did Zaven fall into this trap? Not on your life. On the first play he put up an aggressive, stunting, four-man rush, and Jeff George's pass was knocked down. On second-and-10 he rushed five, blitzing a linebacker, forcing another incomplete. Say what you want about the ineptitude of this Saints team, they do have a good front seven, keyed by a terrific threesome of linebackers. You don't hold back the strength of your team, you put the game in its hands. So what did Zaven do on third-and-10? He rushed six, bringing a DB off the corner and a linebacker inside. And George went to his hot read, Tim Brown, for a two-yard gain. Now it's fourth and eight, and all the yahoos out there are saying, Fall back, keep everything underneath, hold the next gain to under eight and you win. Uh uh, Zaven blitzed two linebackers. The heat from the six-man rush flushed George to his right, and he tried a hopeless crossfield pass that was picked off. End game. And back in his chartroom in New Jersey, poor old Dr. Z raised a glass to Zaven Yaralian, who dared to be different. I would really like to see statistics on what happens when a team goes to a three-man rush (I hesitate to use the dreaded term, "prevent defense") to protect a lead, rather than sticking with the aggressive defense that gave it that lead in the first place. Somewhere, in some team's quality-control office, a modern-day Clark Shaughnessy must be filing and recording all this information. Maybe it's just the failures of the soft-D that stick in your mind and the successes are forgotten, but I'm just bugged by the illogic of it. And I've been recording my own list of its failure: Jets vs. Baltimore, two weekends ago. There's 1:57 left and the Ravens, who are down by seven and haven't scored a touchdown all day, are on their own 20. They get to midfield. Jets go into a three-man prevent. Ravens take it in in eight plays to send the game into OT. Jets drive the length of the field on their first possession. Now they've got a third-and-15 on the Baltimore 27. Let's look at this logically. It's a 44- or 45-yard field goal from that point, very difficult in rainy, miserable conditions. What you want to do is force an incomplete or get a sack. So the Ravens' defensive coach, Marvin Lewis, who has basically rushed four throughout the drive, feels the icy fingers on his throat and pulls el choke-o. He drops into a three-man prevent with his linebackers playing soft, and Glenn Foley flips a little wideout screen to Dedric Ward, who dances down to the 20. The 37-yard field goal is good. I'll give you one more . . . well, two, but they're from the same game, and then get off this tirade. Giants vs. Oilers last weekend, a 10-6 bloodbath in which yards are very grudgingly given and received. The first half is winding down with the Giants trailing 3-0. Tennessee has a third-and-12 on New York's 40. Steve McNair is shaky. Two plays earlier he'd taken a hard sack and his shoulder is hurting. Now's the time to bring heat, right? Uh-uh, three-man rush and McNair, who can't believe his good fortune, completes a 22-yard pass to Derek Russell that sets up the game's only TD. Wait, it gets better. Fifty seconds are left. The Giants have picked up three first downs in the half. Their offense has done zilch. Tennessee coach Jeff Fisher, who was a DB under Buddy Ryan and should know better, goes into the dreaded three-man prevent. In four plays, the Giants move 48 yards to Tennessee's 25, and the 42-yard field goal is good. Oy, vey! Well, evidently Fisher learned his lesson. In the last two minutes, with the Giants on their final possession, first down on their own 34, he sends five, blitzing a linebacker. The Oilers' Marcus Robertson picks off Danny Kanell's pass to end it. Am I making the point, or are you still unconvinced? OK, I'll keep numbers on these situations and torment you with them in a month or so. Speaking of torment, fasten your seat belts, here come the picks. Something just dawned on me--I'd do a whole lot better if I handicapped last week's games, but they won't let me. First the upset special: Bears over the Jets in Chicago. They hung tough against the Vikings last weekend while the Jets were whining about the bad call at the end of the Miami game. Upset No. 2: Baltimore, with its crippled wideout corps and no logical reason to beat the Eagles, to do just that. Still the same old formula until it nosedives--bet against Philly on the road vs. the AFC. Denver has lost four of its last five in Arrowhead, and the Chiefs are unbeaten at home this year, so, of course I'll go with the Broncos. Why? I think it'll take Rich Gannon another game or so to get his sea legs. Washington, with all its people back, laid it on Detroit last weekend. Norv Turner knows how to beat the Cowboys. But I've got a funny feeling about this one. I just think that now is the time Dallas makes its move, so I'll award the Cowboys a grudging pick to beat the Skins at home. Miami over Buffalo in the Monday nighter in South Florida. Marv Levy had so much confidence in Todd Collins against the Patriots last weekend that he started Alex Van Pelt, who promptly went 3-for-12 with three picks. What does this tell me? It tells me I'd better pick the Dolphins. Finally an intriguing match-up. New England at Tampa Bay, both teams coming off 31-10 victories. When is the last time this happened? Beats me. (Seems like the Pottsville Maroons had something like this going for them in the 1920s. Any information would be appreciated.) Pats are on a roll, Bucs are still a head-scratcher. Again, a hunch pick: Tampa Bay. Previous editions of Dr. Z |
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