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football Football Score and Recaps Schedules Standings Statistics Teams Matchups Players Arena CFL NFL Europe

Unheralded runners tearing up the turf

Posted: Thu Sept 3, 1998

Sports Illustrated NFL writer Paul Zimmerman checks in each Thursday with analysis of trends and players to watch.

The exhibition season tickles me because it turns coaches and player personnel directors into rooters. They always pull hard for their high draft choices and, dare we say it, root against the guys who came in with no credentials at all—the free agents and castoffs—or, more accurately, root against them if they're in a position to embarrass their hotshots.

A top draft learns one position and that's usually it—for instance, left guard. We don't want to mess him up by giving him too much all at once. But the free agent? He's got to know all line positions, be in a position to help out any place he's called, shine shoes, clean lockers, anything. Face it, folks. The deck is stacked.

All this is a rather windy preamble to a subject I dearly love—the lesser lights out-performing the guys who were supposed to be a lot better. And it comes into focus at the position that's supposed to be a lock on draft day—running back.

  Terrell Davis
Denver's Davis is the best runner to come out of college in the '90's. (Bob Rosato)
Traditionally, fewer mistakes are made scouting this position than at any other. Walter Payton, Jim Brown, Eric Dickerson, O.J. Simpson, Tony Dorsett, Barry Sanders, Marcus Allen, Franco Harris ... most of the great runners in history were No. 1 drafts. But lately things have gone a bit awry. Players such as Tim Biakabutuka, Ki-Jana Carter, Lawrence Phillips and Rashaan Salaam have been first-round busts. Terrell Davis, the best runner to come out of college in the '90's, was a sixth-rounder.

What's going on here? Beats me, but in going through my survey of the exhibition season rushing stats, an interesting thing jumps out. On the rookie level, the four No. 1 drafts have done almost zip while the lower rounders and free agents have been just fine. I'll give you two sets of numbers, first the top 10 rookie rushers, then the stats for the quartet of No.1 picks:

Top 10 Rookies

Name Acquired TC Yds. Avg.
1. Rabih Abdullah, Tampa Bay FA 50 280 5.6*
2. Ahman Green, Seattle 3rd rd. 62 275** 4.4
3. Jon Linton, Buffalo 5th rd. 48 218 4.5
4. Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala, Pittsburgh 6th rd. 39 189 4.8
5. Ken Oxendine, Atlanta 7th rd. 35 155 4.4
6. Michael Pittman, Arizona 4th rd. 47 153 3.3
7. Tavian Banks, Jacksonville 4th rd. 22 140 6.4
8. Michael Black, Seattle FA 43 139 3.2
9. John Avery, Miami 1st rd. 27 132 4.9
10. Tremayne Stephens, San Diego FA 22 128 5.8
*tops in the NFL
**second in the NFL

First-Round Draft Picks

Name TC Yds. Avg.
1. John Avery, Miami 27 132 4.9
2. Fred Taylor, Jacksonville 39 114 2.9
3. Curtis Enis, Chicago 13 62 4.8
4. Robert Edwards, New England 21 58 2.7

Copouts are available, of course. Enis held out and missed two games. Avery and Edwards have nursed, respectively, hamstring and groin injuries. Taylor has been OK, but he looks like just another guy, whereas his teammate and fellow rookie, Banks, has been sensational. Banks has magic feet and a real knack for making people miss. How come the scouts didn't see that?

Avery, the only top draft to crack the top 10 on the first chart, owes his numbers to one 71-yard run, which I've seen described as everything from "breathtaking" to "scintillating." It wasn't. He came through a big hole outside left tackle and then all he had to do was keep running. I've also read that he sprinted away from all defenders, and that's a fable, too. Zack Bronson, a backup 49ers safety, was in pursuit, and for the last 30 yards or so Avery maintained a five-yard lead, neither gaining nor losing ground. Granted, the kid is fast, but there was nothing in this play that got me excited.

Enis had a chance to show his stuff for a little more than a quarter in the Bears' final preseason contest and he did, showing power and a real burst. I was wrong about this guy. I had him figured as the bust of the draft, but he looks like the real thing. Edwards? Who knows? He's certainly not the guy to make Patriots fans forget about Curtis Martin, which was the PR coming out of Foxboro on draft day. Not yet, anyway.

You could argue that the whole key to exhibition-game performance rests on what unit a guy is playing on, against what unit. Firsts going against seconds are supposed to do well. Backups going against the varsity are supposed to get stuffed unless, of course, the No. 1's are annoyed at having to play so long and take the rest of the night off. Which happens. Boy, does it happen.

But in the case of these rookie runners they were all, basically, thrown into the same situation. And the lower guys put up the numbers and the top drafts didn't, for whatever reason. Maybe the stars were protecting themselves, secure in the knowledge that they had it made. Maybe some of those free agents were nursing injuries that would have kept the top guys out, except they were too insecure to tell anyone about them and they just toughed it out.

And maybe, just maybe, it's getting tougher for scouts to handicap running backs.

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