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Manning has the early edge

Posted: Thu Sept 10, 1998

Sports Illustrated NFL writer Paul Zimmerman checks in each Thursday with analysis of trends and players to watch.

I've explained this before, but some people still don't understand it. On kickoff weekend, when the character of most teams is still basically a blank, I want to see as many of them as possible. So I watched 16, which translates into eight games in their entirety, all neatly registered and charted in four colors.

"No way you could see eight games on a weekend," said the guy in the cigar store, where they still haven't heard about things like the VCR and the satellite dish. This is how it's done:

  Peyton Manning
The Dolphins defense gave Manning a rude introduction to the NFL. (Damian Strohmeyer)
Two local teams on the networks, which for me means Jets and Giants. Two recorded on the upstairs VCR, via the dish, Vikings-Bucs and Dolphins-Colts. Two downstairs, same setup, Packers-Lions and Bills-Chargers. Raiders-Chiefs Sunday nighter and Broncos vs. Patriots on Monday night, and that's eight—count 'em. This is what I saw:

I wanted to get a look at both million-dollar rookie QBs, Peyton Manning and Ryan Leaf. CBS went heavy with the comparisons during the Chargers game, running an in-progress graphic of their respective numbers. I thought Manning looked better, except, of course, for the three picks that cost his team the game. He was smoother in the pocket and more athletic when he had to move out of it, although neither one of them had the look of pure action that the Cardinals' Jake Plummer showed last year.

In the thinking department both were overmatched, of course, by the subtlety of the defenses they faced. Neither one could do the old veteran bit, looking the DBs off the receivers. The Miami secondary, for instance, had a better read on the patterns than Manning had. But that'll come. Remember, these guys are babies.

I thought Manning showed better arm strength, too, and this surprised me because Leaf was the guy who was supposed to have the real gun. Yet he was looping the kind of throws you'd normally drill, such as 10- to 15-yard out patterns. Manning had more zip. Oh well, it's only one game.

My four favorite performances all came in road losses. I'm talking about QBs: the Jets' Glenn Foley against the Niners, the Bucs' Trent Dilfer against the Vikings, the Redskins' Trent Green against the Giants and the Bills' Doug Flutie against the Chargers (but I'm kind of prejudiced in that last one because I pull very hard for little Doug).

Foley just kept coming at the 49ers, never letting them catch their breath, showing a real killer instinct. Why did Neil O'Donnell fall out of favor with Bill Parcells? Because he wouldn't go downfield. A safety-first guy. Just check out O'Donnell's numbers for the Bengals last Sunday: 24 completions for 200 yards, averaging 8.3 per completion, the lowest on the board for a full day's work. No such problems with Foley.

Dilfer was the most courageous. He completed his first 11 passes against a very stiff rush, putting the ball in tight spots and showing real velocity. Then he suffered a thigh bruise and that was it; the Bucs' defense had lost it for them anyway.

Green lifted a hopeless attack and made it competitive. And Norv Turner—a practitioner of the "Real" West Coast Offense, the Sid Gillman-Don Coryell attack that relies on timed routes and throwing to a precise spot—wasted no time naming him the new starter. That's how accurate the kid was.

Finally there's Flutie, who at the age of 35 returns to the NFL wars with six Canadian Football League MVP awards in his trophy case. He came in when the starter, Rob Johnson, was dinged on the first play of the second half. Johnson had run the offense for six series and the result was zero points and a total of half a dozen plays run in Chargers territory. Flutie also had six possessions: Two drives ended with TD passes to Andre Reed, and two others ended on the San Diego four and 21, respectively, setting up a pair of field goal attempts, either of which could have won the game. And before the last drive—from his own 21 to the Chargers' 21—his top weapon, Reed, had been knocked out of action.

Flutie scrambles, he buys time, he bleeds out first downs. Man, is this ever an action quarterback—but he won't start, of course, because the Bills paid Johnson $25 million and sent the Jaguars No. 1 and No. 4 draft choices for his services. OK, let's be realistic about this. It was a real hot day on the Coast, and a waterbug QB like Flutie is going to give defenses real trouble late in the game. But here's what I'd do. Laugh if you like, but I'd bring in Flutie for spot duty every game, maybe for a series or two, maybe when the Bills' coaches sense that the defense is tiring a bit and wouldn't be up to chasing him around.

It's not as far-fetched as it sounds. Philly did it with Randall Cunningham in his rookie year, bringing him in on third downs.

The most spectacular achievement on the board belonged to the Vikings' Brad Johnson, who lit it up the Bucs for four TDs, but I'm probably the only person in Mountain Lakes, N.J., and parts of Denville and Parsippany, too, who wasn't all that thrilled by his performance. He put a lot of balls up for grabs and simply let his receivers make plays. He worked against against some very loose zones and minimal pressure (the great Warren Sapp took the day off). The Bucs gave rookie Randy Moss room and let him have his way, when the book says jam him tightly. Sour grapes, obviously, coming from your faithful narrator who picked the Super Bowl-bound Bucs in an upset here.

I saw something at the end of that game that totally weirded me out. With the Vikes up 31-7 and 2:33 left, they should have been running the clock out. But instead they sent Jake Reed downfield on a fly pattern. He hit the ground hard and was helped off the field and looked in very bad shape on the bench. Why? What was the point? I'll never figure out things like this.

And at the end of the Raiders-Chiefs game, when Oakland was down 28-8 with less than a minute left and K.C. was trying to kill the clock, there go the Raiders, calling a pair of timeouts so they could get their offense and Jeff George, who'd just suffered his 10th sack, for a safety, back on the field, so he could throw a couple of meaningless passes, or maybe get sacked a couple more times. It just doesn't make any sense, but then again, a lot of things don't.

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