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Look for Lions to pull off upset

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Posted: Thursday October 15, 1998 11:16 AM

 

Green Bay and Detroit square off Thursday night in a classic NFC Central matchup. Divisional games like this mean throw out this year's records and look at the history between the two teams.

In four of the last five years, Green Bay and Detroit have split the season series. And the Lions are 4-1 at home against Green Bay in that time.

I spoke with coaches and personnel people who have played both teams this year, and they feel the key to the game will be whether Lions rookie quarterback Charlie Batch gets enough time to throw. If he does, I like Detroit's receivers against Green Bay. Herman Moore. Johnnie Morton, and Germane Crowell are capable of creating the same problems that Minnesota's receivers gave the Packers secondary, especially on the deep routes.

On the ground, Barry Sanders presents even more trouble for Green Bay than Minnesota's Robert Smith did. In their last four games at the Silverdome, every time Sanders rushed for more than 100 yards against the Packers, Detroit won.

On defense, Detroit needs to go after Brett Favre the way Denver did in the Super Bowl. Show him multiple zone blitz schemes and get him to hold the ball and get out of his rhythm. Detroit is already fairly good against the run, giving up 86 yards per game. My advice, and the advice of some of Green Bay's recent opponents, is for the Lions to force Green Bay to beat them on the ground. I don't believe the Packers can.

On the other side, Green Bay rarely loses two games in a row. In fact, the last time it happened was the Packers' final two losses during their Super Bowl season in '96. Green Bay has a good pass rush and Detroit does not have the offensive line Minnesota does. And if Chicago's Eric Kramer can put up 21 points in one quarter against the Lions as he did two Sundays ago, Favre, the best player in the NFL, can light up Detroit, too.

Green Bay beat Detroit in Week 1, in a game in which Dorsey Levens played, Sanders did not rush for 100 yards and Scott Mitchell was the Detroit QB. I think it's going to be different this time. Detroit wins it in a close battle.  

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