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Seven players should say 'aloha' in February but might not

Posted: Friday December 13, 2002 7:47 PM
  Don Banks - Inside the NFL More in this column:
Lewis wants out of D.C.
If the season ended today ...
Don't blame Randy
Gators are Redskin bait
Texans' offensive offense
Game of the week
Quote of the week

'Tis the season for Pro Bowl selection, which never leaves everyone jolly. Each December, a handful of players who have produced at a Pro Bowl level are either squeezed out by the numbers game -- too many deserving candidates, too few positions -- or they're overlooked because they haven't built a reputation equal to their all-star performance.

Popularity contest? In part, of course. Name me an all-star game in which that isn't the case? Pro Bowl voting among the NFL's players and coaches will be conducted Monday and Tuesday. The fan balloting portion of the process already has been completed. By next Thursday or so, we'll know the winners from the losers.

As always, there will be some new faces and a bevy of familiar ones -- some injustices and some hurt feelings. With that in mind, here's a list of seven players who have Pro Bowl-level credentials this season but are in jeopardy of being overlooked. Their candidacies are strong but their odds of making it to Honolulu are long.

These players have at least one thing in common: They've never been Pro Bowl picks. In most cases, that streak is going to continue. But they can take solace in the fact that they put in a building-block type season in terms of their reputations with the Pro Bowl payoff perhaps coming another year:

  • Derrick Deese, San Francisco, offensive left tackle: With Orlando Pace having an injury-plagued season and Seattle's Walter Jones not playing up to his usual dominating standards, the undersized but much-improved Deese has a shot to get recognized this season. Either Tra Thomas or Kyle Turley could still beat him out, but here's Deese's strongest case:

    He hasn't allowed a sack this season, and that streak is now 18 games long, dating to a late November 2001 game against the Colts. The 49ers' line is second in the NFL in fewest sacks allowed with 18, and San Francisco ranks sixth in rushing yards with 141.4 per game.

    An 11-year veteran who is greatly respected as a team leader, Deese goes 6-3, 289 in an era when the average NFL tackle stands 6-5 and weighs 307. It doesn't hurt that Deese, an undrafted free agent, has played all five line positions in his career, and this year might benefit from a Ray Brown-type sentimental vote among his peers.

  • Peerless Price, Buffalo, receiver: Price has one very big obstacle blocking his way to the four-man AFC receiving contingent, and his name is Eric Moulds. The Bills teammates have nearly identical numbers, which means most voters are going to lean toward Moulds, who is every bit as deserving and has two previous Pro Bowl selections on his resume.

    Price and Moulds have the same number of receptions (81), touchdown catches (nine), 100-yard games (five) and receptions of at least 40 yards (six). Price has a slight edge in yardage (1,125 to 1,106). So how can you send one to Hawaii and leave the other one home? Just watch, it'll happen.

    And not without some justification. In the AFC, Indy's Marvin Harrison, Pittsburgh's Hines Ward and Oakland's Jerry Rice all have the numbers to go. In Ward's case, it'll be a slight make-up for last year, when he made it to Hawaii as a second alternate, injury fill-in. In Rice's case, he's 40 and still getting it done. Price is Buffalo's No. 2 receiver, but he's as good as any No. 2 in the league. Unfortunately for him, he looks like No. 5 in terms of Pro Bowl voting.

  • Donnie Edwards, San Diego, middle linebacker: Ask anybody who has watched much of the Chargers this season and they'll tell you the same thing: San Diego's best defender this season hasn't been the celebrated Junior Seau and it hasn't been the well-respected Rodney Harrison. It's Edwards in a walk. Switching to the middle in his first season in San Diego after three seasons in an outside linebacker role in Kansas City, Edwards has been a play-making machine.

    He leads all linebackers in interceptions with five and is tied for second in the league overall. He has two touchdowns on returns -- one via interception, the other fumble recovery -- and his 99 total tackles are 30 more than Seau's, the Chargers' next leading tackler. Edwards' eight passes defensed tie him for the team lead, and he's on the field for every one of the Chargers' defensive packages. In short, he's been San Diego's difference maker all season long.

    Will he go? Well it helps that Ray Lewis missed most of the season with an injury and is out for the year. Miami's Zach Thomas is a lock. New England's Tedy Bruschi has been slowed by injury, and Pittsburgh's Kendrell Bell missed four games due to ankle problems and has suffered something of a sophomore slump. Denver's Al Wilson could also drain some votes, given that he is rather quietly having a strong season.

  • Kris Jenkins, Carolina, defensive tackle: The Panthers' eight-game losing streak obscured the progress that was made on defense this season under first-year head coach John Fox and defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio. But Jenkins' development has been a big part of that story. Jenkins has seven sacks -- trailing only Warren Sapp (7.5) among defensive tackles -- and 20 quarterback pressures. All four starters on the Carolina D-line have at least five sacks, one of only two lines that can say that.

    The Panthers' defense has improved from 31st against the run and 31st overall to eighth against the run and sixth overall this year. Said one veteran league personnel man of Jenkins: "You don't have a better name than him on that list. Every week I watch him, he kills people. He's got great power, rare power, and can push every guard back. He's a strong man, and it didn't help him any when he had to play without [fellow tackle] Brentson Buckner beside him for four games. And now Julius Peppers is gone."

    Sapp and Dallas' La'Roi Glover -- who has come on in the season's second half -- are solid bets to take two of the three DT berths in the NFC. Philadelphia's Corey Simon is another deserving candidate. That means there's probably not room for Jenkins this year. But he has served notice that he'll be heard from in the future.

  • Ed Reed, Baltimore, strong safety: The Ravens drafted Reed in the first round out of Miami for his play-making skills, and he hasn't disappointed in any regard. Reed has been all over the field for Baltimore with four interceptions, 65 tackles, 12 passes defensed and two punt blocks, returning one for a touchdown. He'd have two touchdowns if he hadn't gone brain-dead and started celebrating an interception return for a score at the 8-yard line against Cincinnati, fumbling the ball away.

    Yet Reed's Pro Bowl problem is a familiar one: He has proven talents like San Diego's Harrison and New England's Lawyer Milloy ahead of him in the AFC pecking order. Also, Kansas City's Greg Wesley is tied for the league lead in interceptions with six and will get his share of support.

  • Brian Kelly, Tampa Bay, cornerback: Kelly is in much the same situation as Price in Buffalo. Despite great numbers, he's got Ronde Barber lining up on the opposite side of the field, and Barber's Pro Bowl game and name are going to make it tough on a second Bucs cornerback.

    But Kelly is tied for the NFL lead with six interceptions and has far exceeded expectations. He gets challenged much more often because teams don't want to throw at Barber too much, but he has responded with the kind of performance that has helped Tampa Bay to become the league's clear-cut No. 1 defense.

    The Eagles have a pair of Pro Bowl candidate cornerbacks themselves in Troy Vincent and Bobby Taylor. The season-ending injury to St. Louis' Aeneas Williams creates a Pro Bowl opening for some NFC cornerback, but it's not likely to be Kelly. He's probably a year or so away from establishing the kind of reputation needed to land such an honor.

  • Barret Robbins, Oakland, center: I've seen the Raiders play a few times this season, and I haven't seen quarterback Rich Gannon get hit once. In fact, Gannon has been sacked 26 times -- or twice a game. But that still averages out to just once every 21 pass plays because Oakland has thrown the ball an astounding 547 times. Robbins is one of biggest reasons that Gannon has remained so upright.

    Oakland, of course, doesn't run much, but the Raiders rushing game is averaging 4.2 yards per carry. Oakland's line can run block, but the coaching staff just has a preference for passing. Robbins is one of those players who has never gotten the recognition he deserves, and the Raiders found that out last year when they sorely missed him after he suffered a season-ending knee injury in Week 2.

    Some personnel men say left tackle Barry Sims is the Raiders' most deserving Pro Bowl lineman. But Jonathan Ogden's reputation has tended to obscure all competitors in the AFC. At center, Robbins will have to beat out either Kevin Mawae -- a Pro Bowl perennial -- or the well-respected Damien Woody of the Patriots. If there's a weak link in Woody's candidacy, it's that he switches places with guard Mike Compton in shotgun situations.

    Lewis, Redskins remain uneasy fit

    Though he won't say so himself, sources close to Redskins coordinator Marvin Lewis make it clear that he considers having to stay and coach in Washington for another season his worst-case scenario. Lewis has not enjoyed much about the move down I-95 from Baltimore to D.C. and, truth be known, would stay in his old job as Ravens defensive coordinator if he had it to do all over again.

    That said, sources say he's determined to make the best of his situation in Washington, where he has found it too frustrating at times to work under the freewheeling style of head coach Steve Spurrier.

    Lewis likes Spurrier personally and the two get along well. But Lewis has had difficulty dealing with a Redskins organization that seems to make it up as it goes along, from owner Daniel Snyder on down. Lewis is more comfortable with putting the structure of a program in place and then building around it. Under Snyder and Spurrier, courses routinely get changed on a whim.

    On Wednesday, Lewis withdrew his name from consideration for the Michigan State head-coaching job. He also has no plans to pursue the UCLA opening, despite the Bruins having interest in him. Lewis remains intent on landing an NFL head-coaching job this offseason, but his opportunities could be relatively few.

    Even if Lewis doesn't garner a head-coaching job, I wouldn't be surprised to see him find a way to part company with the Redskins.

    Getting a jump on January

    Let's take the old if-the-season-ended-today game a step further. If the playoffs opened today, the first-round pairings would be:

  • The wild-card Colts at the AFC North champion Steelers;

  • The wild-card Chargers at the AFC South champion Dolphins;

  • The wild-card Falcons at the NFC North champion Packers;

  • The wild-card Saints at the NFC West champion 49ers.

  • The Raiders, Titans, Eagles and Bucs all would have first-round byes and be at home in the divisional round.

    The first three wild-card round games would be rematches of playoff games from the mid-90s, and the last, New Orleans at San Francisco, would reunite two longtime NFC West rivals who were split up by realignment.

    From the vantage point of more than three weeks away, I'd like the Colts to upset the stumbling Steelers; the Dolphins to sneak past the Chargers; the Packers to freeze-dry the plucky Falcons at Lambeau; and the Saints to pull a shocker against the inconsistent 49ers.

    But I could change my mind.

    You can't blame Randy this time

    Who said first-year head coach Mike Tice isn't making progress in Minnesota? Three Vikings offensive players, all of whom get paid to catch passes, were fined a total of $25,000 by the league on Thursday and none of them were Randy Moss.

    Oh, that's right. We forgot that Moss is never a factor on the game's final play.

    Washington: Where old Gators go to flop

    Let me get this straight. Willie Jackson? Cut. Jacquez Green? Cut. Reidel Anthony? Cut. Shane Matthews? On his way out of Washington. Danny Wuerffel? Welcome to return in 2003, as long as he's willing to back up a Redskins quarterback who's still searching for his first NFL win as a starter.

    Hey, what's not to like about Spurrier's ex-Gators experiment? I mean, that Chris Doering has been a real find.

    The Texans were all but pointless in Pittsburgh

    Never has an offense had less to feel good about in victory than the Houston Texans' last Sunday in Pittsburgh. By now, you know the mind-boggling statistics. The expansion Texans won by 18 despite rolling up all of 47 yards and three first downs on offense. Houston's first three defensive touchdowns in franchise history saved the day.

    To their credit, the Texans' offensive players -- and we mean that term literally -- didn't try to sugar-coat anything with all that "a win is a win" talk.

    Said Houston quarterback David Carr of the team's defense: "They should take the game ball they got and throw it at us."

    Running back James Allen was even more colorful. "The only reason the offense showed up today is so we wouldn't have to forfeit."

    Lastly, tight end Billy Miller weighed in with the following regarding the defense: "I'm almost embarrassed to look at them. We played so bad I'm speechless."

    Game of the week

    Let everybody salivate over Oakland (9-4) at Miami (8-5) or Green Bay (10-3) at San Francisco (9-4). The Week 15 tilt I can't wait to see is Indianapolis at Cleveland. Butch Davis' thrill-a-minute Browns make those 1980 Brian Sipe-led "Kardiac Kids" of Cleveland seem positively sedate.

    When the Browns (7-6) won at Jacksonville last Sunday on a last-second 50-yard Hail Mary pass from Tim Couch to Quincy Morgan, it represented the seventh time in Davis' 29-game Cleveland tenure that a game was decided on the final play. The Browns are 2-5 in those games.

    Sixteen times in those 29 games, the outcome has been decided in the final minute. Cleveland is 7-9 in those nail-biters, including a win earlier this season on the road against the Jets, which wasn't settled until the game's penultimate play.

    The Colts (8-5) play them pretty close themselves. Indy is 3-0 this year in games decided by three points or less, including that snowy overtime thriller in Denver three weeks ago.

    Quote of the week

    From beleaguered Arizona head coach Dave McGinnis, who left work early on Monday with a stomach virus:

    "I shut it down at about 4, went home and got about six seconds of sympathy from [wife] Kim. She started spraying me with Lysol and said, 'Go back to work. You haven't won enough games.'"

    Don Banks covers pro football for CNNSI.com.

     
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