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Balanced diet

Parity still reigns in AFC East, but Pats have leg up

Posted: Saturday August 02, 2003 7:05 PM
Updated: Saturday August 02, 2003 7:43 PM
  More in this column:
Looking back on a fire sale
The art of the in-season deal
Return to 'Sack Exchange'
Mickelson makes his picks
Pats put pressure on Smith
New York hype vs. Toomer
Bills' Henry tightens his grip
Edwards plays down grudge
Bills follow Ravens' blueprint
Harrison bitter over dismissal
Graham on sophomore jinx
Jets' math doesn't add up
Giants on Sehorn's absence

Musings, observations and notebook fodder culled from my first couple of weeks of training camp travels ...

With three winning teams and no losers, in addition to the first- and last-place finishers being separated by one game, the AFC East was as good as it got in 2002. And it looks like more of the same slugfest of parity this season.

After visiting three of the division's four teams in the first 10 days of training camp -- everybody but geographically isolated Miami -- here's how I read the AFC East at this early juncture. Of course, one could talk to 11 different observers and get 11 different takes on how this division will go; it's that ridiculously bunched together in terms of talent and coaching.

Drawing hard and fast conclusions on Aug. 2 is a bit premature. I reserve the right to change the opinions expressed here, in order to save myself public humiliation. But then again, if this stands up, you'll never hear the end of it.

1. New England: I came away from Patriots camp in Foxboro with the feeling that Bill Belichick has his team where it needs to be mentally after the draining experience of trying to defend a Super Bowl title last season. Plus, outside linebacker Rosevelt Colvin will have a bigger impact than any other newcomer in the division.

The Patriots' attempt to start a pair of safeties who are so similar to each other in Lawyer Milloy and Rodney Harrison bears watching, because coverage issues could result. If New England gets Antowain Smith back where he was in 2001, it's primed for another deep playoff run.

2. Buffalo: The Bills are intriguing, because like the Patriots, they made such obvious improvement on defense, with the increased balance figuring to make their high-powered offense even better. The run defense was upgraded with tackle Sam Adams, and there are two more playmakers at linebacker, with Takeo Spikes and Jeff Posey.

Josh Reed must come through in the No. 2 receiver role, giving defenses something to worry about besides Eric Moulds. But I don't think that's going to be a concern. The more intriguing subplot is how Gregg Williams reacts to the pressure of coaching in the final season of his contract. I foresee a successful salary drive.

3. Miami: You can count on the perennially fast-starting Dolphins being 6-2 at midseason, so they're always going to be in playoff contention. But I'm still skeptical whether the addition of veterans Junior Seau, Sammy Knight, Jeff Zgonina and Terrell Buckley will have an impact on the fade-down-the-stretch routine that the club hopes to avoid.

It's a bit of a stretch to say that Seau walks into the Miami locker room with the same cache of leadership and presence he developed in San Diego over 13 years. It doesn't necessarily work that way. Also, the Brian Griese factor could lead to unforeseen problems. Coaching for his job this year, Dave Wannstedt can't afford to go to Griese too early, and I don't think he will. But he also can't wait too long, or it could be too late.

4. New York Jets: I feel uncomfortable picking the Jets to finish last, given my belief that Herman Edwards is one of the game's best motivators and finest handlers of men. But remember, this is the AFC East, where last could mean you're a game out of first. That said, the Jets are going to need all of Edwards' good karma this season, because logic says they lost ground on the personnel front.

To win big, New York needs more to fall in place than any other division member. The Jets have to get some pass rush out of No. 1 pick Dewayne Robertson at defensive tackle. They have to get a return to form from middle linebacker Sam Cowart. They need the loss of Laveranue Coles to be nicely compensated for, and it would help if Chad Pennington somehow repeats his remarkable 2002 showing. That's a lot to ask for.

So there you have it. It's the Pats, Bills, Dolphins and Jets. In that order, with New England and Buffalo making the playoffs. Unless it's the Dolphins, Pats, Jets and Bills. Or maybe the Bills, Dolphins, Jets and Pats. Or even the Jets, Pats, Bills and Dolphins. In the AFC East, I can see it any way you want it.

Looking back on the Colts' 1973 fire sale

With all the furor over the Cincinnati Reds' midseason salary dump in baseball this week, I was reminded that there's never been a fire sale in the NFL quite like the one that took place 30 years ago in Baltimore.

In an 11-day span in late January 1973, Colts general manager Joe Thomas made eight trades that almost dismantled a team two years removed from winning Super Bowl V. Coming off a 5-9 season in 1972, the Colts' first losing record since 1956, Thomas shook up the storied franchise by sending the following veterans packing: quarterback John Unitas (to San Diego), running back Tom Matte (San Diego), running back Norm Bulaich (Philadelphia), center Bill Curry (Houston), defensive end Billy Newsome (New Orleans), and defensive back Jerry Logan (L.A. Rams). Those six players accounted for a combined 51 seasons of tenure in Baltimore, with Hall of Famer Unitas leading the way as a 17-year Colt. All six were members of Baltimore's 1970 Super Bowl team.

After enduring two more losing seasons, with Howard Schnellenberger and Thomas himself doing the coaching, the Colts started a three-year playoff run in 1975 under the leadership of head coach Ted Marchibroda. The quarterback on those teams, Bert Jones, was taken with the first-round draft pick obtained from New Orleans in the January 1973 Newsome deal.

But you can still start a fight in Baltimore by mentioning two names with anything other than utter disdain. One is Robert Irsay, the despised Colts owner who moved the team to Indianapolis in the dead of the night in 1983. The other is Thomas, the disrespectful wheeler-dealer who sold off civic treasure Unitas.

Rare in-season deal can shake things up

The financial ramifications of midseason NFL trades -- can you say "salary cap acceleration"? -- have all but made them extinct. Only small, relatively inconsequential deals get done these days around the league's mid-October trading deadline. Often the date passes with virtually no movement or fanfare.

But while the NFL never rivaled baseball in midseason roster maneuvering, there were deals made involving headline players. And they weren't all that long ago.

The two in-season trades that most NFL fans remember are Eric Dickerson going from the Rams to the Colts in a three-way deal (with Buffalo) on Halloween 1987, and the blockbuster that sent Herschel Walker from Dallas to Minnesota (and helped make Jimmy Johnson's NFL reputation) in October 1989.

But here are five other autumn deals that were big news at the time:

  • Houston traded future Hall of Fame running back Earl Campbell to New Orleans in October 1984, in exchange for the Saints' No. 1 pick in 1985. Campbell was done as an NFL player by the end of the 1985 season.

  • Tampa Bay sent two-time Pro Bowl linebacker Hugh Green to Miami in October 1985, for first- and second-round picks in the 1986 Draft.

  • The Don Coryell-era Chargers picked up a pair of key offensive cogs from the Saints in deals that were executed in the last days of September 1980 and 1981, respectively. First, running back Chuck Muncie came over for a second-rounder in 1981, and then receiver Wes Chandler was dealt to San Diego on Sept. 30, 1982. The Bolts gave up receiver Aundra Thompson and first- and third-round picks for the receiver who played opposite John Jefferson.

  • Houston sent quarterback Archie Manning and future Hall of Fame tight end Dave Casper to Minnesota on Oct. 20, 1983, for a package of picks. Both players retired at the end of the 1984 season, with Manning going to work on developing the game's next generation of young quarterbacks.

    Thomas wants to return to 'Sack Exchange' era

    The Jets are desperate for another pass rusher to complement defensive end John Abraham, who had a team-high 10 sacks last season. With tackle Josh Evans suspended, the hope is that Robertson, the team's high-priced No. 1 pick, emerges as a pass-rush threat.

    But some are laying odds that the line's improvement will come courtesy of last year's No. 1, defensive end Bryan Thomas, who has talked openly this summer of helping the Jets return to the team's "Sack Exchange" era of the 1980s.

    "You already know how good John Abraham is," said Thomas, who had just a half-sack in his disappointing rookie season. "I want to add to that, just like the Sack Exchange. I want to get it back to that, so we have more than one person making an impact."

    For those scoring at home, if the Jets put a defensive line of Abraham, Robertson, Thomas and Shaun Ellis on the field at the same time -- and three of those players are listed as ends -- it would represent an all-first-round foursome.

    Mickelson makes his picks

    Did you see where golfer/crack prognosticator Phil Mickelson picked Buffalo and Atlanta to meet in this season's Super Bowl? Don't snicker. Lefty put his money where his mouth is before the 2000 season, wagering in Vegas that the Baltimore Ravens would win that year's Super Bowl. He collected $600,000 on that one. The next year he correctly foresaw the Arizona Diamondbacks' World Series title.

    Mickelson made his latest pronouncement in an interview that followed Monday night's "Battle of the Bridges" prime-time TV event. (Night golf? Has it really come to that in this country?)

    Bills-Falcons would be fun. It would ensure a first-time Super Bowl winner, and just think of all those "Peerless Price wants revenge" stories we'd be subjected to.

    Pats put pressure on Smith to produce

    Though I think the statistics are somewhat misleading, New England head coach Bill Belichick makes a good point when he notes that for all the talk of Antowain Smith's performance falling off in 2002, his per-carry average only dropped from 4.0 in 2001 to 3.9 last year. Smith gained 1,157 yards on 287 carries in the team's Super Bowl season and had 982 yards on 252 rushes last year.

    Still, the Patriots aren't keeping an eye on free-agent running back Jamal Anderson just because they have a warm spot for his comeback story. Statistics or no statistics, there's some pressure on Smith to start strong this season.

    New York hype machine hasn't worked for Toomer

    One of these days, we're going to have to get around to acknowledging that Giants receiver Amani Toomer has accomplished the impossible: He's an underrated player in New York. Toomer is the first Giant to total at least 70 receptions and 1,000 yards receiving in four consecutive seasons, and last year he set franchise records with 82 receptions for 1,343 yards.

    Quick, name the last Giants receiver to go to the Pro Bowl? If you said Homer Jones in 1968, you've got the Big Blue in your blood.

    Bills' Henry tightens his grip

    Whether first-round running back Willis McGahee redshirts this year in Buffalo, and odds are he does, I'm willing to guarantee you that Bills running back Travis Henry holds onto the ball better in 2003. Henry fumbled 11 times last season, losing seven of those. Two of the bobbles were returned for touchdowns.

    If Henry loses his grip again this season, he knows his starting job might be the next thing that goes in 2004.

    Edwards plays down Jets' grudge match

    It doesn't stoke the hype, but I liked Herman Edwards' take on the Jets' huge grudge match at Washington in Week 1. The Redskins signed away four players from New York this offseason, including restricted free agents Laveranues Coles and Chad Morton. The two front offices also traded salvos in the midst of all the intrigue surrounding those moves.

    "Oh sure, that doesn't bother me," said Edwards, when asked if anyone is allowed to speak of the Redskins at New York's team complex. "It'll be a plot line for the media, and for everybody, because it's a good story. But the players and I understand that that's one game. I'm not a big believer in all of a sudden, 'Hey, man, we got to beat these guys because of this or that.'

    "You know what? Even if they didn't take any of our players, we need to beat those guys because that's who we play in our opening game. When you start hyping it up, you fall into a trap. What if you don't win the game? Then what do you do? What do you do? You got 15 games after that. What am I going to sell them next? So I don't go down that road as a coach. I don't believe in that. You just play every game and try to win them all."

    That makes sense and is no doubt the right way to go. But let the Jets win that game and I'll bet you $10 that the topic of the Redskins' raid comes up in Edwards' celebratory postgame locker room talk to his guys, the kind only NFL Films gets to witness.

    Bills following Ravens' defensive blueprint

    Don't make the mistake of referring to Baltimore's record-breaking defense of 2000 around Buffalo head coach Gregg Williams. Trust me on this one. Williams, of course, was in his final season as Tennessee's defensive coordinator that year.

    "Who was the best defense in 2000?" Williams asked me, while talking about the impact that new defensive tackle Sam Adams could have on the Bills' defense and whether Buffalo can duplicate the Ravens' run-stuffing defensive front of that Super Bowl season.

    "Baltimore," said I. "Are you sure?" Williams quickly shot back, as I realized my mistake. "Out of the nine defensive categories, the Ravens led in two and Tennessee was first in seven of them."

    I admit it. He got me. Although Baltimore had a defense for the ages that season, Williams' Titans unit was actually ranked No. 1 in the league. How quickly we forget.

    That said, Williams agreed that Buffalo is trying to follow Baltimore's blueprint with its defensive front: two huge, space-eating defensive tackles in Adams and Pat Williams, who require double-team blocking, thereby freeing up play-making linebackers Takeo Spikes, London Fletcher and Jeff Posey to find the ball.

    "We've talked to them about that defense in Baltimore," Williams said. "We would hope it would pan out just like that front the Ravens had."

    New Bills linebacker Spikes is already a believer.

    Speaking about the prospects of playing behind beefy defensive tackles Adams and Williams, Spikes said, "I always say we got 700 pounds of pork up front. They're going to hold guys down and allow us linebackers to make a lot of plays. Even in practice. I'm loving it, man."

    Pats' Harrison bitter over dismissal from San Diego

    Something tells me that Patriots safety Rodney Harrison is a long way from being over the manner in which his career in San Diego ended this offseason. Too bad New England won't face the Chargers this season, unless it's in the playoffs.

    "[Chargers head coach] Marty Schottenheimer came in last year and started making a statement about what type of guys he wanted," Harrison said last weekend, his eyes still belying the hurt he feels. "He wanted to go younger, with a youth movement. It surprised me initially to be up out of there, because I thought I did a lot for the program and the city and the organization. To release me like that, after I played hurt the whole year, I was disappointed."

    News flash: He still is.

    And speaking of Harrison, he was one of four players pictured on the cover of last year's San Diego media guide, along with Schottenheimer. Three of those stars are no longer with the organization: Harrison, linebacker Junior Seau and receiver Curtis Conway. Only franchise running back LaDainian Tomlinson survived the roster purge.

    Wisely, L.T. is alone on the cover of this year's guide. Don't fret over his potential demise, Chargers fans. Even Schottenheimer isn't that powerful (or foolish).

    Pats' Graham hopes to avoid sophomore jinx

    If I had to pick a second-year player whom I think is going to blossom in 2003, Patriots tight end Daniel Graham is as good a name as any. Graham, New England's first-round pick in 2002, caught just 15 passes for 150 yards and one touchdown last season, starting six of his 12 games.

    But with ex-Giants tight end great Mark Bavaro helping coach him in training camp, and Graham looking like the light has gone on, I expect the former Colorado star to garner quite a few of those scoring passes that Christian Fauria (another Pats tight end and ex-Buff) hauled down in 2002.

    Jets' math doesn't add up

    Try as they did to convince me, I'm not sure I'm buying the notion that losing Laveranues Coles in free agency means the Jets will rely on Wayne Chrebet, Curtis Conway and Santana Moss in near equal proportion. When you say you have three No. 1 receivers, as New York has this preseason, that usually means you don't even have one.

    Giants disappointed by Sehorn's absence

    I promise you there are some very disappointed people on the Giants' offense, given that injured former New York cornerback Jason Sehorn will not be on the field for the Rams when they open the regular season Sept. 7 at Giants Stadium. Quarterback Kerry Collins and receivers Ike Hilliard and Toomer come to mind first.

    Don Banks covers pro football for SI.com.

     
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