I want to try to catch up on almost five months of offseason dealing for you; I'll
try to give the whole thing an overview and decide whether or not the quantity
and quality of players departed equal those of the recent arrivals. For some
teams, such as Jacksonville, an overload in the departures column was impossible
to avoid, given the Jags' hopeless salary cap
situation.
Sorry, but rookies are not factored into this equation, since 1) we've already
done a draft analysis; and 2) so far the only measure
of their credibility is non-contact work in the minicamps, which ain't enough to
go on. One thing always bugs me about these analyses of player movement. A guy
is replaced through lack of ability and the team is credited with upgrading the
position. But then he goes somewhere else, and presto, his new team is also
congratulated for upgrading itself. It's as if the writer doing the analysis has
frequent memory lapses. I'll try to avoid this trap. I can't mention every
player, but here are the highlights, by division. I'll give you the NFC
breakdown separately.
AFC EAST
First they hired Kevin Gilbride, a run-n-shoot guy, to coach
the offense; then they traded for Drew Bledsoe, a classic
down-the-field thrower. I called GM Tom Donahoe to discuss this
possible conflict in
approach.
"Kevin's not married to the run-n-shoot," Donahoe said. "He has a
solid background in the kind of offense we want to run with Drew." Well, if
the formula works, then the trade ranks with the Redskins' pickup of Jeremiah Trotter and Ricky Williams' journey to Miami as the most
significant offseason deals. Elsewhere, LBs Sam Cowart and Jay
Foreman are gone, and London Fletcher and Eddie Robinson
move in. Call it a plus, unless Cowart is fully recovered from his Achilles
tendon injury, then it's a big plus for his new team, the Jets. John Fina was showing his years at LT. Now ex-Bronco Trey Teague is the man.
The Bills pick up youth here. I don't like new safety Billy Jenkins as
much as the man he replaced, Keion Carpenter, but I do like the
acquisition of kicker Mike Hollis.
Call it a great offseason if the Bledsoe trade works out and the O-line is
sturdy enough to give him time to get the ball
downfield.
How will Williams do? Depends on whether Leon Searcy can shake
off two years worth of injuries and return to his old form, either at tackle or
a new position, guard. The O-line is in flux. Gone are Spencer Folau
and Heath Irwin from a banged-up unit that spawned a running attack
that finished 23rd in the league last year. I don't much like what's happened to
the D-line, either. The Dolphins lost Kenny Mixon, a very sturdy
plugger at LE, Lorenzo Bromell and Rich Owens, and acquired
Larry Chester, an inside guy, and Rob Burnett, who'll be 35
when the season starts, to replace Mixon. Two years ago Burnett was a terrific
player, but he started to wear down last season. And that's about it for
significant pickups. Gone is their starting SS, Brian Walker, and their
punter, Matt Turk. It's been a fingers-crossed type of offseason, which
will get a healthier spin if Williams runs for 1,300 yards or
more.
Last year Scott Pioli, the personnel director, and
Bill Belichick did about the best job of fitting players into positions
that I've ever seen. These guys see things that the rest of the world misses, so
when they devote an offseason to more blue-collar people, more role players,
such as TE Christian Fauria, former Steelers starting guard Rich
Tylski, WR Donald Hayes, CB Tom Knight and a pair of
ex-Jet D-linemen, Steve Martin and Rick Lyle, you won't hear
any criticism from this quarter. I think they got two terrific special teamers
in Ratcliff Thomas and Chris Hayes. TE Cam Cleeland
is a good gamble, if healthy, which he's never been. And what have the Patriots
lost from their Super Bowl squad? Well, Bledsoe in a trade, and Terry Glenn, who was a non-factor last year, and Brandon Mitchell, a part-time
starter on the D-line. Usually the defending champion sees its team decimated
the following year, its superstars going the way of the long green. But this
team didn't have very many, and the ones who might fall into the superstar
category, present or future, are signed. It's a very happy
situation.
It all starts with the unit up front that must protect
38-year-old Vince Testaverde. Two starters are gone and Dave Szott, a pickup who was being counted on to start, is out, probably for the year,
with a torn ACL. If they can fix this mess from within, fine, but it's a big if.
Defensively, they'll probably generate a decent pass rush, but they couldn't
stop the run last year. Here comes another if ... if Cowart, who replaces OLB
James Farrior, who was starting to come into his own at the end of last
season, can return to his near All-Pro form, then they're in business. I think
the new corners, Aaron Beasley and Donnie Abraham, will do a
better job in run support than last year's departed starters, and the Jets
picked up big, tough SS Sam Garnes, not for his coverage but for his
run-stopping. Victor Green, a tackling machine for many years, wore
down last season. He's gone now. Riddick Parker, Steve White
and Larry Webster are the D-line pickups as Lyle, Martin and Shane
Burton depart. We'll call this grouping a tie, maybe a slight upgrade. The
biggest improvement could be in the punting game where Turk, if he can recapture
his old form, replaces Tom Tupa, whose leg died last
season.
AFC NORTH
This is the year in which the salary cap sank its fangs deep into the
meat of the batting order. I count 12 starters gone from last season, and I
might be missing a player or two. You know the names. No need for a full rehash.
Go down the roster and there is practically no position that hasn't been hit.
And who is the lone pickup allowed by the meager cap budget? QB Jeff Blake, giving it a go with his fourth team. And that's after Brian Billick spent a lot of time at the league meetings telling us how ready the young,
untested Chris Redman was. If the Ravens are respectable, it'll be a
tribute to Billick's coaching, but they're fighting a terrible numbers crunch in
the old personnel
department.
Minimal entries, as usual, on the arrival/departure chart. QB
Gus Frerotte, backup DE Eric Ogbogu and CB Jeff Burris
are new Bengals, and, I'm sorry, but I can't find anything there to excite me.
TE Tony McGee and S Chris Carter are gone. Ditto. I apologize
for such sparse news but boldness in free agency never has been the Bengals'
style. The young guys have to improve (no, I won't say "step up");
rookies have to come through. In other words it has to come from
within.
Here is the mandate for 2002 -- run the ball, stop the run. The
Browns were last and third from last in those categories last season. OK, to
address the former they drafted a runner, William Green, in the first
round -- whoops, slipped up there. I said I wasn't going to mention rookies.
Well, just this one, OK? New O-linemen are tackles Barry Stokes and
ex-Ram Ryan Tucker, who struggled as a pass protector last year but did
OK as a drive blocker on the power side. Gone are Roman Oben and
Jeremy McKinney. I'd call this a plus. Run-stoppers arrive on defense: DE
Kenard Lang, ILB Earl Holmes and SS Robert Griffith,
along with CB Emmanuel McDaniel, who's not exactly ferocious against
the run but once was a pretty good nickelback for the Giants. Defensive losses?
Ends Keith McKenzie and Greg Spires, MLB Wali Rainer.
I'd say the Browns are on the plus side of the ledger.
Twenty-and-a-half of 22 starters return. Holmes and Tylski, a
part-time starter, are gone. They lost some reserves here and there, nothing to
get excited about, and picked up QB Charlie Batch to back up
Kordell Stewart; WR Terance Mathis, who has lost a step but still
led the Falcons with 51 catches last season; LB Farrior, who might turn out to
be better than people expect; and K Todd Peterson. The latter will
replace Kris Brown, who came down with a case of the yips last year.
Add the rookie crop to this mix and how can you not like the Steelers to make a
serious run at the Super
Bowl?
AFC SOUTH
Riches in the cap department translates to an army of mercenaries, far
too many to name here, and, of course, the arrival/departure chart is
meaningless because no one can depart from a squad that had no prior existence.
So we'll summarize. Where do expansion teams usually suffer most during their
formative years? Defense, you say? I'd be more inclined to say offensive line.
And that is exactly where the Texans have devoted their most serious thinking,
and surprise, this could be a formidable unit, well suited to protect their hot
young rookie QB if LT Tony Boselli is functional. Three shoulder
surgeries are not a good sign. On the plus side, he's 30, not exactly ancient
for an O-lineman. He doesn't have to be an All-Pro, just good enough, because
the people around him can play. Ex-Jets RT Ryan Young is a budding star
and he's only 26. I know the ramifications of the deal, but the Jets were still
nuts to let him go. Ex-Colts guard Steve McKinney, now working at
center, is solid. Ex-Charger DeMingo Graham is a decent drive blocker.
The fifth guy, Jeremy McKinney? Well, I'm not wild about him, but he
did start for Cleveland. Yeah, I know. I said that the Browns upgraded the unit
by replacing him, but four out of five ain't bad. Defensively, my favorite
acquisitions are MLB Kailee Wong from the Vikings and ex-Jaguars DT
Gary Walker, if he comes back from groin and hernia
surgery.
Former Bear Walt Harris is the left corner, Burris is
gone, and that's about the most serious free agency move the Colts have made to
upgrade a defense that gave up the most points in the league. Unless, of course,
you count a draft that devoted its first six picks to defense, but I read
somewhere that I'm not supposed to talk about rookies here. Strong safety
Chad Cota, willing but not exactly speedy, is gone. So is special teams ace
Ratcliff Thomas, a LB. They picked up Titans starting SLB Greg Favors.
I don't think the free agency moves are going to turn the defense around. That's
up to the gang of rookies. And offensively, I'd say they're in the minus column.
Losses include O-line regulars Steve McKinney and Larry Moore, TE
Ken Dilger and wideouts Jerome Pathon and Terrence Wilkins, a kick returner of note. Acquisitions? Backup QB Brock Huard, wideout Qadry Ismail, TE Jermaine Wiggins.
Furious, churning activity has marked the Jags' offseason. Here
and there, some interesting pickups, but some tough cap hits, too. Let's touch
on the highlights on a few positions. WR: Keenan McCardell gone,
Patrick Johnson and Bobby Shaw on board. That's a minus. OL:
Boselli and regular center Jeff Smith gone, Raleigh Roundtree,
Chris Naeole, Kevin Long and Daryl Terrell aboard. A
minus if Boselli regains something close to his old form with the Texans, a plus
if his injuries keep him out again. It's a hard, nasty way to look at things,
but this is the kind of tally personnel people keep. DL: Three starters, E
Renaldo Wynn and both tackles, Seth Payne and Gary Walker, gone,
Stalin Colinet, Tim Morabito and Marco Coleman
aboard. A minus, although I think that the 32-year-old Coleman still has some
good football left in him. LB: Kevin Hardy and an aging Hardy
Nickerson gone, Wali Rainer on board. A minus. CB: Aaron Beasley gone,
Ike Charlton on board. Can't say. K: Mike Hollis gone, Jaret Holmes
on board. Looks like a minus, but you never know with kickers. Sorry Jags,
too many
minuses.
I like what the Titans have done in the backfield, picking up two
underrated players, RB Robert Holcombe and FB Greg Comella, to
offer support to Eddie George. Jeff Smith replaces C Kevin Long, who had fallen out of favor. Defensively, they've lost more than they've
gained. Ex-Niner Lance Schulters is a big league strong safety, if his
shoulder is OK, and he replaces Blaine Bishop, a proud old warrior
whose body simply started breaking down. But look at the losses: DBs Michael
Booker and DeRon Jenkins, starting LBs Greg Favors and Eddie
Robinson, D-linemen Jason Fisk and Josh Evans. Which is why
their first six draft picks were all on the defensive
side.
AFC WEST
Last year they brought in a mob of free agents. Remember how giddy
everyone was about Leon Lett and Chester McGlockton? Didn't
exactly work out, did it? Well, they've cut back now. Some of their acquisitions
are interesting, such as 34-year-old TE Shannon Sharpe, who returns
after a two-year sojourn in Baltimore; some are gambles that could pay big
dividends, such as ex-Cardinals WR Rob Moore, who's been out of
football for two years. Blocker Howard Griffith is gone. So is LB
Bill Romanowski, LT Trey Teague and Lett. They'll be OK on the O-line, with
ex-Bear Blake Brockermeyer replacing Teague, but even through Romo was
slowing down, his smarts on defense will be missed. Two interesting pickups are
ex-Cowboys DB Izell Reese and Lional Dalton, who was effective
in the D-line mix in Baltimore. Last year the Broncos' offense was crippled by a
jayvee set of wideouts, but if Moore is anywhere near his old form, the position
could be a real
plus.
Can OT Willie Roaf, coming back from an injury plagued
season, replace departed Victor Riley on the power side? Can they find
an OLB as active as Donnie Edwards, who's gone now? Will Morten
Andersen, at 42, still be able to get that old oomph into his field goals
as Todd Peterson's replacement? Nagging questions, but serious enough. They pick
up 50 catches with Johnnie Morton (77) replacing Derrick Alexander (27) at wideout, and that's about the extent of the free agency activity I
can report from
K.C.
This is an old team, but I guess you're tired of reading that by now,
and it didn't get any younger by plugging in 36-year-old Romanowski and
33-year-old Gerald Dixon at the outside LB spots, replacing William
Thomas (33) and Elijah Alexander (31). How about their second
first-round pick, Napoleon Harris, you ask? Sorry, we don't talk about
rookies here, not even about top choice Phillip Buchanon, who'll
replace the retired Eric Allen at CB. OK, let's change the rules. This
is a free agency column, but we'll mention a rookie when absolutely necessary.
How's that? At 37, Rod Woodson should have just the right amount of
seasoning to step in as Al Davis' free safety. The question is, has Willie Brown really retired, or is he ready to give it one more go for the
Silver and Black? Yeah, I know, I'm being a smartass and the Raiders have done
just fine without my help. On the D-line, Grady Jackson, Darrell
Russell and Regan Upshaw (torn ACL) are gone, but the Raiders
helped ease the pain by signing one of the game's finest run stoppers on the
interior line, ex-Charger John Parrella. They'll need him. Enemy
runners gained 4.6 yards per carry against the Raiders' D last year, second
worst in the
league.
Their new OLB, Donnie Edwards, is quick and active. It'll be
interesting to see how he fits in with Junior Seau. Ex-Titan Jason Fisk
is a run-stopping DT in the Parrella mold, although not quite as sturdy. Wideout
Jeff Graham is gone and so are three O-linemen. The new guys up front
are Bob Hallen and Cory Raymer, who started at center for the
Redskins. Another ex-Skin, Stephen Alexander, is one of those tight
ends who's always talked about in the future. He replaces Freddie Jones, a go-to receiver. Yep, it'll be up to the rookies to inject new life into
a team that wins more fans every day by threatening to move to
L.A.
Sports Illustrated senior writer Paul Zimmerman covers the NFL beat for the
magazine and is a regular contributor to CNNSI.com. To send a question to Dr.
Z's Mailbag, click here.