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Hot, not, and what to watch in MLS

Click here for more on this story
Latest: Friday July 28, 2000 02:57 PM

  Inside U.S. Soccer - Grant Wahl

With the MLS All-Star game approaching, Sports Illustrated's Grant Wahl is going with a special MLS All-Star break edition: Updates on the most important storylines of the season, who's hot and who's not, and some predictions for the second half.

Five storylines to follow in MLS

  • D.C. UNITED'S DEMISE. Imagine the uproar in England if Manchester United were to finish last in the Premier League next season. No MLS 2000 story is more shocking than the freefall of United, the three-time league champ. In all likelihood, D.C. will have to win seven of its last eight games just to make the playoffs. Not gonna happen, which leads to a few questions. Will coach Thomas Rongen get canned? (Yes.) Will Marco Etcheverry leave MLS? (After much grumbling, no.) And will president/GM Kevin Payne clean house? (Doubtful -- look at all that talent.) At least D.C. has one thing it won't have to worry about: Relegation.

     
    Playoff Race Logjam
    Rank  Team  Pts.  PPG 
    1.  Kansas City  41  1.86* 
    2.  MetroStars  41  1.86 
    3.  Tampa Bay  38  1.65 
    4.  Los Angeles  37  1.54 
    5.  Chicago  35  1.52 
    6.  Colorado  33  1.43 
    7.  New England  32  1.39 
    8.  Dallas  31  1.29** 
    ====  ====  ====  ==== 
    9.  Columbus  31  1.29 
    10.  Miami  26  1.13 
    11.  San Jose  23  1.00 
    12.  D.C. United  21  0.88 
     

  • PLAYOFF RACE LOGJAM. Great move by MLS to switch to a format with five wild cards. With just six weeks left in the regular season, only two wins separate the No. 4 team (Los Angeles) from the No. 9 team (Columbus). In other words, look for a wild, wild stretch run to decide the eight playoff teams. If the season ended July 26, the chart to the right shows how things would shake out (point-per-game corrects for games-in-hand):

  • METRO-CHAMPS? After finishing dead last a year ago, the MetroStars are suddenly the favorites to win MLS Cup 2000. If they stay hot -- and it says here they will -- look for a few things to happen, namely 1) Continued league-wide complaints about the fallout from the Luis Hernández deal, which brought Clint Mathis and Roy Myers in to save the Metros; 2) Increasing confusion over Lothar Matthäus's role on the team; and 3) GM Nick Sakiewicz's ego to increase to Steinbrennerian proportions.

  • BIG MAMA'S SCORING SPREE. If Tampa Bay's Mamadou (Big Mama) Diallo scores 10 more goals in his last nine games, he'll break Roy Lassiter's single-season MLS record of 27 goals set in 1996. Then stand back and watch as European clubs come calling for the sturdy Senegalese striker.

  • THE FUSION FOLLIES. The guillotine is being readied for the Miami Fusion, whose possible relocation may be the subject of discussion as soon as this weekend, when the MLS Board of Governors meets in Columbus. Why have two teams struggling to draw fans in Florida when there isn't a single MLS team in Houston, Philadelphia or Rochester?

    Hot 'n' Not

    HOT

  • Carlos Valderrama. This guy's really 38? The hair may go gray, but the skills are still there.

  • MLS. No, Ronaldo isn't coming, but the fact that he even mentioned MLS as a possibility is kind of cool.

  • Bobby Convey. Waifish D.C. United teenager can really play.

  • Chris Henderson. Tony Meola isn't the only Wizards player who should be joining the national team next month.

    NOT

  • DaMarcus Beasley. It's too early to panic, of course, but Beasley should have taken his Silver Ball from the world under-17 tournament and headed straight to Europe. Instead he's stuck riding pine in Chicago.

  • CONCACAF. Name two countries that would least like to see the U.S. in the final round of World Cup qualifying: Mexico and Jamaica. Now name the home countries of the two referees who have screwed the U.S. this month: Mexico and Jamaica. Any questions? It's time for CONCACAF to spend a few bucks and bring in some zebras from South America.

  • Octavio Zambrano. Lame favoritism toward his own players reaches new heights with Zambrano's selection of MetroStars defender Dan Hernández for East All-Star team.

    Five second-half MLS predictions

    1. Ronaldo thinks twice about MLS. The Phenomenon changes his mind about wanting to come Stateside on a loaner when he sees tapes of D.C.'s Geoff Aunger scything down opponents left and right.

    2. New England will make the playoffs; Columbus won't. With six of its last eight games at home (including two against the Crew), the Revs will squeak into the postseason for the second time in team history. With a playoff spot on the line, the Crew will choke to lose its last two games of the season, both against rival Chicago.

    3. Three MLS coaches will get the sack. D.C.'s Thomas Rongen and Miami's Ray Hudson will depart soon after their teams miss the playoffs. Then watch as the Dallas's Dave Dir gets canned after the Burn lose in Round 1 of the postseason. (Mysteriously, Columbus's Tom Fitzgerald will keep his job despite not reaching the playoffs.) One of the departed coach's replacements will be former U.S. coach Steve Sampson -- in either Dallas or Miami.

    4. MetroStars striker Clint Mathis will sizzle down the stretch. Along the way, Mathis will average a goal a game and rally to be named Most Valuable Player as the Metros take the Supporters Shield with MLS's best record.

    5. MetroStars over Chicago in MLS Cup 2000. Behind a resurgent Hristo Stoitchkov, the Fire will roll to the final, only to be stopped by MVP Mathis and the reincarnation of the Cosmos. Afterward, Lothar Matthäus and GM Nick Sakiewicz will scuffle over who deserves the most credit for the championship.

    Sports Illustrated staff writer Grant Wahl will keep you up to date on U.S. soccer teams and players each Wednesday. To send him a question or comment click here.


     
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