SI.com

Surprise leaders

Preseason favorites are nowhere to be found here

Posted: Tuesday February 11, 2003 2:25 PM
  Seth Davis - Hoop Thoughts

I love it when things get turned upside down -- or right-side up, depending on your perspective. Take the Big Ten, for instance. All of us preseason prognosticating pundits figured Indiana, Michigan State and Illinois would be duking it out for the top spot by this point of the season. But check out the standings, and you'll see it's Purdue and Michigan ruling the roost with 7-2 records. When I asked Gene Keady recently what he would have said last November had I told him he'd be in first place in mid-February, he replied, "I'd have told you you were crazy."

Here's a quirky quintet of other teams who have caught the craze:

Wake Forest (6-2 in the ACC). Maryland and Duke were supposed to be the juggernauts, but the Deacs upset the Terps at home and have beaten the teams they were supposed to beat. Meanwhile, the favorites have stumbled.

Dayton (8-1, Atlantic 10). The Flyers are tied with Xavier for the best record in the league, and they nearly beat Xavier last week in Cincinnati despite a monster 47-point performance from David West. Dayton's roster is flush with juniors and seniors, which usually bodes well for postseason success.

Louisville (8-0, Conference USA). Rick Pitino has gotten more ink lately than Hans Blix, so you know the Cards are on a roll. Their game at Marquette on Saturday will be the truest test yet of their might.

Brown (6-0, Ivy). The Bears haven't won an Ivy League title since Bob Hope was in grade school, but their weekend of reckoning at Princeton and Penn is up next.

Kent State (10-2, MAC). The Flashes lost three starters and their head coach from last year's Elite Eight squad, but 6-foot-5 senior forward Antonio Gates has them at the top of the heap again, with an RPI ranking of 35.

Other Hoop Thoughts

  • I told you a few weeks ago that Providence forward Ryan Gomes is a sleeper. So why are you still sleeping on him?

  • Cincinnati had a nice win over Oklahoma State last weekend, but the main purpose of this season for Bob Huggins & Co. is to build steam for next fall, when the Bearcats will be one of the It teams when it comes time for preseason rankings. (It's not too soon to think about that, is it?) Not only will Jason Maxiell be a year older, but Hugs has two impact players coming in -- James White, a transfer from Florida, and juco stud Robert Whaley.

  • Whether Louisville is able to finish, especially in the NCAA tournament, as strong as it has started will boil down to whether the Cards can be effective in their halfcourt offense. Because you can be sure that every team they play will take great pains to slow the game down.

  • Bummer about Western Kentucky center Chris Marcus. He coulda been a contender.

  • I don't care what the RPI rankings say, the Big 12 is clearly the best league in the country. (The RPI has the Big 12 third, behind the SEC and the ACC.)

  • If Tennessee's Ron Slay were on a top-10 team, we'd be talking about him as a national-player-of-the-year candidate.

  • Who woulda thunk it: We're going to have a Big East tourney without Georgetown and a Pac-10 tourney without UCLA.

  • Caught one of the great all-time hoops movies, Fast Break, on ESPN Classic the other night. The cast featured hoopers-turned-actors Michael Warren (who played at UCLA) as Preacher and Bernard King (of Tennessee and New York Knicks fame) as Hustler. Question for e-mailers: What are the other great acting performances turned in by basketball players? (No, G-Dub, Jay Bilas doesn't count.)

  • Oh, and speaking of Louisville, here's one team the Cards definitely do not want to play in the NCAAs: Kentucky.

  • Storyline to follow: Whether Alabama becomes the first team in history to miss the NCAA tournament after being ranked No. 1 during the season.

  • Let me see if I get this straight. Duke loses at Florida State, then has to gut out home victories against at-best-NIT-bound North Carolina and Clemson, and moves up in this week's AP poll from 9 to 8? Yup. Makes perfect sense.

  • I am shocked -- shocked! -- to hear a report of possible academic improprieties under Jerry Tarkanian at Fresno State. Of course, the man at the center of the story once again is Nate Cebrun, the famed street agent who was also behind Florida State's Foot Locker scandal as well as Chris Porter's suspension at Auburn. So I was thinking, Hoopheads: Who else would be on our all-scandal team? I have Cebrun, Ed Martin from Michigan, Rob Johnson from Syracuse, Jan Gangelhoff from Minnesota, Richie (The Fixer) Perry at UNLV, and the patron saint of scandal figures, Sam Gilbert at UCLA. Any others? E-mail me!

  • How about we also do an all-underachievers team? My nominee for captain: David Harrison, sophomore center at Colorado.

  • Don't look now, but Billy Edelin is settling in comfortably at Syracuse. He had his best game last Saturday in the win over West Virginia: 18 points, four rebounds and three assists in 38 minutes. One more reason why the 'Cuse is one of my NCAA tourney sleepers.

  • Two Florida thoughts: I was very surprised the Gators didn't at least put up a fight at Kentucky. It's one thing to lose, it's another to get blown out, it's yet another to get humiliated. Also, if Christian Drejer really is a first-round talent, it's time for him to be more of a focal point in Florida's offense.

  • I know freshmen have ups and downs, but North Carolina's Rashad McCants -- who has scored 27 points on 10-for-46 shooting in his last four games, including 1-for-8 and 0-for-7 the last two times out -- is setting a new standard in the fall-from-grace competition.

  • Sorry to keep harping on the weaknesses of a very good player, but Brandin Knight's poor shooting (1-for-9 vs. Notre Dame, including 1-for-6 from 3-point range) will absolutely spell doom for Pittsburgh unless he either starts making shots or takes fewer attempts.

  • You won't find many games that mean more to a program than Virginia's win last week at Maryland. The Cavaliers needed that kind of victory to validate their considerable talents. I've felt all along that this could be Pete Gillen's toughest team in Charlottesville, but this was the first time the Cavs proved it in a difficult setting.

    Mail Call

     
    ASK SETH
    Your name:

    Your e-mail address:

    Your hometown:

    Your question for Seth Davis:
    Not surprisingly, I received a lot of e-mails about LeBron James, who has since been reinstated to finish out his high school season. Many of you picked up on -- and took issue with -- my comment that it was only a matter of time before he slipped up. Robert Baldacci of Carmel, Calif., wrote: "This statement leads one to believe that [you think] he was going to slip up no matter what he did."

    First of all, I preceded that comment by saying LeBron's actions in the past year have become increasingly brash, culminating in Hummergate last month. If you keep pushing the envelope, at some point it's going to tear. That said, I do think LeBron was set up to fail, and while that is not all his fault, he must bear responsibility for what has happened. The fact that his lawyer argued -- with a straight face, apparently -- that LeBron thought the jerseys were rewards for outstanding academic performance further proves that the kid knew he was doing something wrong by accepting them.

    Many of you also pointed out the obvious disparity between a system that allows the school and other businesses to profit from LeBron, but doesn't permit LeBron to cash in. From Mike in Boston: "Instead of castigating LeBron, people should be focusing on the institutions that make a mockery of so-called 'amateurism' and talk about changing the system." Russell from Jacksonville, Fla., made an ironic point when he wrote: "I think it is stupid that his punishment is harsher than it would have been had he been caught stealing the jerseys." That may be true with respect to his eligibility, but to be fair, accepting the jerseys didn't put LeBron in any kind of criminal jeopardy.

    Not all of the e-mails were pro-LeBron. Many of you took his mother, Gloria, to task. From Tyler in Eugene, Ore.: "For his mother to say she just wants this to be over so poor LeBron can go back to enjoying his friends and high school experience was almost laughable!" And Randy from Rochester, N.Y., had this to say about James Williams, the Summit County judge who issued the temporary restraining order against the Ohio High School Athletic Association: "I am so frustrated with the judge in this case, more so than LeBron. I mean, he is just a kid, but the judge is supposed to be upholding the law."

    Incidentally, the operative word here is "temporary." LeBron will have to face another hearing in Williams' courtroom on Feb. 23 to see whether that order will be made permanent. The question now is, How many players in other counties and other states will begin taking their cases to court if their school or high school association rules them ineligible? Not a pretty scenario to picture.

    As for non-Lebron queries, Michael Wright of Dale City, Calif., notes that the very week that I led my Inside College Basketball column in Sports Illustrated with the surging California Bears, Da Bears summarily lost their next two games to Arizona State and Arizona. Writes Wright: "Is the SI jinx confined strictly to the cover subject?"

    Actually, we at Inside College Basketball do have our own jinx history. The prime example was Joel Przybilla, the former center at Minnesota. Two years ago, I did a Spotlight in the column on Przybilla. Between the time the magazine closed on Monday and the time it hit newsstands on Wednesday, Przybilla was kicked off the team for blowing off class and immediately dropped out of school.

    I also received a good question from Dusty Howard of Raceland, Ky., who wrote, "Is Kentucky's Gerald Fitch ineligible for the All-Glue team for all of 2003? Last year is in the past." I did mention Fitch's attitude problems as a reason for leaving him off my All-Glue team this year, but if I were putting together a late-season edition, I would certainly have Fitch on it. Kids are allowed to make mistakes as long as they learn from them -- and Fitch has.

    I also want to give a nod to Jewish sports expert Brian Schiff of Philadelphia, who provided a few more MOTs (Members of the Tribe) currently working sidelines in college hoops: South Florida coach Seth Greenberg, plus assistants Josh Oppenheimer (DePaul), Bernie Fine (Syracuse) and Dan Leibovitz (Temple).

    Finally, time for our weekly Radiators roll call, your favorite songs from America's greatest band and the pride of New Orleans, site of the 2003 Final Four: Suck the Head (Charlie Singleton, Tucson, Ariz.); All Meat (Darryl K. Dugan, Alexandria, Va.); Spider's Nest (Thomas Larson, Minneapolis); Fountains of Neptune (Mike Olson, Madison, Wis.); Songs From the Ancient Furnace (Kevin Hogan, Baltimore); Ace in the Hole (Scott Kravetz, Mequon, Wis.); River Run (Josh Levy, Milwaukee); Texas Chainsaw Massacre (Ryan Richardson, Schererville, Ind.).

    And our Reader of the Week award goes to Michael Mathis from Arlington Heights, Ill., who in citing Law of the Fish as his favorite Rads tune provided, unwittingly or not, a lyric that could also be called the Law of the NCAA Tournament: "Big ones eat the little ones, little ones got to be fast."

    Sports Illustrated staff writer Seth Davis covers college basketball for the magazine. Hoop Thoughts appears Tuesdays during the regular season on SI.com.

     
    Related information
    Stories
    Seth Davis' Hoop Thoughts Archive
    Multimedia
    Visit Video Plus for the latest audio and video

  •  


     
    CNNSI