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Number one's priority
Scoring, not stealing, is what makes a great leadoff hitter
Posted: Friday April 19, 2002 4:29 PM
What makes a great leadoff hitter? Look no further than what Fernando
Vina of the Cardinals did to Diamondbacks ace Curt Schilling on
Wednesday. The scrappy second baseman stroked the first pitch of the game for a
double, then Placido Polanco's sacrifice bunt moved him to third, where he was stranded. In
the third he struck out. In the fifth he led off with a single, stole second and
scored on Jim Edmonds' grand slam. Vina singled again in the sixth.
The Cardinals table-setter went 3 for 4 with a run scored and a stolen base
against Schilling. Later in the game, after Schilling had been sent to the
showers, Vina walked and scored another run. St. Louis beat the Diamondbacks 8-4
and, while Edmonds and St. Louis starter Matt Morris grabbed the
headlines, those in the know slid some credit Vina's way. "He and Juan
Pierre [of the Rockies] are, to my mind, as good as they come at the top of
the order in this league," Schilling said. Arizona manager Bob
Brenly added, "He's been a thorn in our side for a long
time."
"He's not just the best leadoff hitter in the National League," says
one scout. "He might be the most underrated player in the
league."
Vina can run -- he stole 17 bases last year -- but he's not the second coming of
Rickey Henderson. He's never swiped more than 22 in a season, and he's
never finished among the top 10 in the league in steals. But he is good at
working pitchers and finding a way on base (Vina has twice led the league in hit
by pitches), skills that are often overlooked when teams search for leadoff
hitters. It's easy to be dazzled by speed, but the top hitter's job should be to
score
runs.
Roger Cedeno is a perfect example. He stole 55 bases for the Tigers last
year, second-most in the league. But thanks to a middling .337 on-base
percentage, he scored just 79 runs. (By way of comparion, in 2001 Ichiro
Suzuki of the Mariners stole 56 bases, but also posted a .381 on-base
percentage and scored 127
runs.)
A look at Cedeno's numbers makes it refreshing to see the A's using Jeremy
Giambi atop their order. The outfielder's stat line (zero career stolen
bases) and his lumbering 6-foot, 200-pound frame don't exactly make for a
typical speedster leadoff hitter. But the lead-footed Giambi is actually more
proficient than most of his top-of-the-order peers at getting on base. His .433
on-base percentage through Thursday was 10th-best overall in the American League
and second only to Chicago's Kenny Lofton (.485) among leadoff hitters.
No surprise that Lofton leads the league with 22 runs and that Giambi's 11 lead
his
team.
Take a look at the AL teams that have scored the most runs from the leadoff spot
each of the past 10 seasons. Sure, it would be nice to have a leadoff hitter who
stole successfully every time he got on base. But clearly, when it comes to
creating scoring opportunities, the important thing is reaching base, not
swiping bags once you
do.
| The Importance of On-base Percentage |
| Year |
Leadoff Runs Leader |
Leadoff Steals Rank |
Leadoff OBP |
| 2001 |
Mariners |
2nd |
1st |
2000 |
Royals |
1st |
3rd |
1999 |
Indians |
1st |
4th |
1998 |
White Sox |
7th |
7th |
1997 |
Yankees |
7th |
2nd |
| 1996 |
Orioles |
7th |
3rd |
1995 |
Angels |
11th |
3rd |
1994 |
Indians |
1st |
1st |
1993 (tie) |
Indians |
1st |
2nd |
|
Tigers |
13th |
1st |
1992 |
Tigers |
12th |
2nd |
| |
Sports Illustrated staff writer Stephen Cannella covers the baseball beat for
the magazine. Touching Base appears every week on
CNNSI.com.
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