Year-After Effect Pitchers at Risk in 2013

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Photo: David E. Klutho/SI

Chris Sale, White Sox

Age: 23

2012 Innings Pitched: 192
Increase from previous professional high: +121

The Year-After Effect, as SI writer Tom Verducci has called the risk after a big innings jump, is not a scientific, predictive system. It's a rule of thumb to identify pitchers who may be at risk because of a sharp increase in workload. Last year, Verducci identified 14 young pitchers coming off workload increases of 30 innings or more. Nine of them suffered injuries or significant regression: Derek Holland, Dylan Axelrod, Jaime García, Liam Hendricks, Eric Surkamp, Chris Schwinden, Daniel Hudson, Zach Stewart and Michael Piñeda. Here's his 2013 list of pitchers at risk.

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