| Chris Burke's NFL Draft Big Board |
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| Luke Joeckel |
| Texas A&M, junior |
| 6-6, 310 |
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OT |
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The gap between Joeckel and Central Michigan's Eric Fisher may have closed in some people's minds, but that says more about Fisher's outstanding Senior Bowl week than anything Joeckel did. Joeckel was up here for Big Board 1.0, and he may remain until the draft.
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| 2 |
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| Chance Warmack |
| Alabama, senior |
| 6-2, 322 |
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OG |
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Warmack passed on a Senior Bowl invite, a smart decision since, quite frankly, there's little he could have done to help his cause further in Mobile. This will be an intriguing case come draft day -- teams don't often take guards early.
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3 |
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| Jarvis Jones |
| Georgia, junior |
| 6-2, 242 |
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LB |
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This is me taking a bit of a mulligan. I had Jones four spots lower in Big Board 1.0 because of lingering medical concerns (spinal stenosis). Here's the thing, though: Jones explodes off game tapes. His upside outweighs the risk.
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4 |
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| Damontre Moore |
| Texas A&M, junior |
| 6-4, 250 |
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DE |
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Not to oversimplify the issues, but for a team running a 3-4, I think Jones is a touch better fit; and in a 4-3, I'd give Moore an edge. Either way, you can't go wrong, and both Jones and Moore could be stars from Day One.
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5 |
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| Eric Fisher |
| Central Michigan, senior |
| 6-7, 305 |
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OT |
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Fisher's one-spot drop is 100-percent related to Jones' bump, and not at all indicative of Fisher fading. In fact, it's just the opposite. During the NFL Network's Senior Bowl broadcast, Mike Mayock said Fisher was "by far" the best player that week.
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6 |
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| Dee Milliner |
| Alabama, junior |
| 6-1, 198 |
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CB |
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If there's a knock on Milliner, it is that he needs to improve his man-to-man cover skills -- in a zone, he can be lights out. That's fine (and accurate), but he still strikes me as a potentially elite NFL corner.
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7 |
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| Star Lotulelei |
| Utah, senior |
| 6-3, 320 |
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DT |
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The more film I've watched of Loutlelei, the more noticeable it has become just how much attention he garnered from opposing O-lines. If he eats up multiple blockers in the NFL, he'll be invaluable; if teams try to go one-on-one, he could dominate.
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8 |
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| Bjoern Werner |
| Florida State, junior |
| 6-4, 256 |
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DE |
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As mentioned in Big Board 1.0, there does not appear to be a future for Werner as a 3-4 OLB (he's a 4-3 DE), so his value takes a little hit. My guess is that whichever team winds up taking him, however, quickly will come to love him.
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9 |
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| Barkevious Mingo |
| LSU, junior |
| 6-4, 240 |
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DE |
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Mingo presents the type of case that can be tricky this time of year. There is some chatter that his lack of production has teams concerned. But is that concern real or a red herring? Mingo's athletic abilities will find him a home early.
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10 |
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| Ezekiel Ansah |
| BYU, senior |
| 6-5, 270 |
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DE |
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And while we're on the topic of draft conundrums ... Ansah struggled through Senior Bowl week practice, then dominated the game. The former is troubling; the latter speaks to his tantalizing ceiling.
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11 |
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| Keenan Allen |
| California, junior |
| 6-3, 210 |
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WR |
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Because Allen probably will not blow anyone away with his Combine 40 time, he may wind up sliding at the draft. And then within a year or two, fans will be upset that their team didn't take the productive wideout.
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12 |
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| Jonathan Cooper |
| North Carolina, senior |
| 6-3, 310 |
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OG |
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Like with Joeckel and Fisher, the gap between Warmack and Cooper may not be all that vast. Where Warmack goes will set the stage for Cooper's draft prospects, but the North Carolina product should be a first-rounder.
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13 |
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| Cordarrelle Patterson |
| Tennessee, junior |
| 6-3, 205 |
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WR |
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I'm hedging a bit on Patterson until we get to the Combine. His highlight reel from 2012 is thrilling, especially on plays in which he found himself in space. He's raw, though, so the progress he makes during pre-draft season will be key.
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14 |
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| Alec Ogletree |
| Georgia, junior |
| 6-3, 234 |
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LB |
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I have a feeling Ogletree will be in the top 10 here by the end of the month. There is very little not to like in his game tape, and he figures to knock it out of the park at the upcoming Combine.
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15 |
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| Sheldon Richardson |
| Missouri, junior |
| 6-3, 295 |
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DT |
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Richardson holds firm in this range. Truthfully, there might not be a ton of room to move up in a loaded class for interior linemen -- and there are a number of players on his heels, like Florida's Sharrif Floyd.
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16 |
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| Dion Jordan |
| Oregon, senior |
| 6-6, 243 |
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DE |
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Jordan suffered an injured shoulder at the end of the season and had to skip the Senior Bowl because of the resulting surgery. That's too bad, because he would have had a real chance to solidify himself as a top-15 pick with a good showing.
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17 |
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| Kenny Vaccaro |
| Texas, senior |
| 6-1, 218 |
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S |
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Vaccaro's late decision to bail on the Senior Bowl should have hurt him, especially as Jonathan Cyprien and Phillip Thomas (especially Cyprien) put up big weeks. Thomas, though, remains the clear top safety in this class -- and the excitement around others at his position proves how in demand he'll be.
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18 |
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| Alex Okafor |
| Texas, senior |
| 6-4, 261 |
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DE |
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Hard to find too much fault in what Okafor did during Senior Bowl week -- he held his own against some top linemen, like Fisher, and occasionally grabbed the upper hand. Okafor did not skyrocket his stock upward, but he definitely did not hurt it either.
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19 |
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| Lane Johnson |
| Oklahoma, senior |
| 6-6, 302 |
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OT |
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On the South's first touchdown play of the Senior Bowl, Johnson found himself matched up with SMU's Margus Hunt. By the time QB E.J. Manuel crossed the goal line, Hunt was barely even in the TV picture. Johnson is our biggest riser from 1.0 to 2.0, and he deserves that jump based on a spectacular Senior Bowl week.
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20 |
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| Geno Smith |
| West Virginia, senior |
| 6-3, 220 |
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QB |
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On the one hand, Smith might receive a boost simply from the struggles quarterbacks endured during the Senior Bowl. But, by skipping those festivities, Smith missed a chance to really set himself apart.
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21 |
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| Sam Montgomery |
| LSU, junior |
| 6-5, 260 |
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DE |
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No reason to really move Montgomery yet, be it up or down. He and Mingo fed off each other throughout the 2012 season. Montgomery may be more of a D-line anchor -- he added 30 pounds prior to last season.
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22 |
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| Sharrif Floyd |
| Florida, junior |
| 6-3, 303 |
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DT |
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It will be hard for an NFL team to drop Floyd in at DE after he spent 2012 steadily improving after sliding to tackle. In Peter King's Monday Morning QB last week, ex-Chiefs GM Scott Pioli ranked Floyd third among the draft's juniors -- ahead of Werner and Jones, to name a couple.
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23 |
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| Johnathan Hankins |
| Ohio State, junior |
| 6-3, 320 |
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DT |
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Hankins is more of a Lotulelei space-eater type than someone like Floyd, who can slide around the line. Because of that, I leapfrogged Floyd over Hankins for the time being. If Hankins proves he has reliable motor, he could climb.
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24 |
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| Manti Te'o |
| Notre Dame, senior |
| 6-2, 255 |
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LB |
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When all is said and done, my hunch is that Te'o will wind up hearing his name called right around the mid-20s. But on the heels of his well-publicized catfishing debacle, he could tumble if he flops at the Combine.
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25 |
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| Datone Jones |
| UCLA, senior |
| 6-4, 280 |
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DE |
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Why, hello there. Jones is right up with Lane Johnson in terms of players who helped themselves the most during Senior Bowl week -- he finished with a solid game (3 tackles, 0.5 sacks). His ability to get off the ball is consistently noticeable, even when he overruns plays.
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26 |
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| D.J. Fluker |
| Alabama, senior |
| 6-4, 355 |
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OT |
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Fluker is quite the physical specimen at 6-4, 355, with an 87-inch wingspan. He sat out the Senior Bowl, however, with nagging groin and calf injuries, which will be enough to pique health concerns. He might be a stretch at left tackle.
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27 |
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| Larry Warford |
| Kentucky, senior |
| 6-3, 333 |
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OG |
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Warford fell just outside the top 40 on Big Board 1.0 -- I was anxious to see if he looked better at Kentucky than he really was, because of the subpar talent around him. Answer: Nope. He's the real deal, as proven by a great Senior Bowl week.
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28 |
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| Tavon Austin |
| West Virginia, senior |
| 5-9, 175 |
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WR |
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Austin's late withdrawal from the Senior Bowl will knock him down a couple pegs on some draft boards. His Combine numbers are likely to bring him back. Athletes like Austin simply do not grow on trees.
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29 |
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| Zach Ertz |
| Stanford, junior |
| 6-6, 252 |
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TE |
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Just count the number of pass-rushing ends and OLBs on the Big Board, and you'll find therein the added importance of versatile tight ends. Ertz can pressure linebacking corps and safeties with his receiving abilities, but he's also capable of adding blocking protection against athletic edge defenders.
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30 |
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| Xavier Rhodes |
| Florida State, junior |
| 6-1, 217 |
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CB |
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Until someone proves otherwise (and Johnthan Banks, for one, may do so), Rhodes sticks as the second-best corner in this draft, behind Milliner. The majority of teams could use another physical, aggressive cornerback like Rhodes.
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31 |
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| Khaseem Greene |
| Rutgers, senior |
| 6-0, 236 |
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LB |
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It would have been nice to see Greene back a strong week of Senior Bowl practices with a standout game, but he had just one tackle. Still, Greene's background as a former safety makes him a nose-to-the-football player, and he looks the part of an NFL contributor.
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32 |
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| Kevin Minter |
| LSU, junior |
| 6-1, 245 |
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LB |
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How much less did we hear about Minter during the college football season than about Te'o? And yet, it's entirely plausible that Minter becomes a better rookie and more impactful pro. He's a solid, reliable defender.
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33 |
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| Johnthan Banks |
| Mississippi State, senior |
| 6-1, 185 |
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CB |
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The Super Bowl simply reiterated how few top-notch cornerbacks there are in the NFL right now. Offenses are winning the battle. A player like Banks, however, could help a team swing the pendulum. He certainly won't back down from receivers.
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34 |
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| Matt Elam |
| Florida, junior |
| 5-10, 202 |
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S |
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If you've been paying attention, you've likely heard a lot about safety Jonathan Cyprien out of Senior Bowl week. For now, give an edge to Elam at that position because he has more experience against upper-echelon competition.
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35 |
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| Barrett Jones |
| Alabama, senior |
| 6-4, 305 |
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C |
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Jones received an invite to the Senior Bowl, but instead opted to spend some time getting healthy before the Combine -- he said he played through a Lisfranc injury in the BCS title game. That health will be key for Jones in the coming weeks.
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36 |
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| DeAndre Hopkins |
| Clemson, junior |
| 6-1, 200 |
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WR |
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Unless Hopkins bombs at the Combine or suffers some sort of injury, he will be of great interest both to those playoff teams in need of another weapon late in Round 1 and rebuilding squads shy of playmakers at the top of Round 2.
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37 |
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| Matt Barkley |
| USC, senior |
| 6-2, 230 |
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QB |
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There was a little confusion last week as to whether or not Barkley would throw at the Combine -- USC's Twitter account said no, Barkley said maybe. If he does, the door is open for Barkley to really rise on draft day.
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38 |
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| Eddie Lacy |
| Alabama, junior |
| 6-1, 220 |
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RB |
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Lacy and Giovani Bernard are neck and neck for the top RB spot here, though Round 1 may go by without a player from that position coming off the board. Lacy still has a slight edge here, because he's better built for the NFL grind.
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39 |
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| Quinton Patton |
| Louisiana Tech, senior |
| 6-0, 202 |
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WR |
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Texas A&M fans are well aware of Patton's abilities -- he went for 233 yards and four TDs in a shootout loss to the Aggies back in October. Patton excelled all week at the Senior Bowl, too. The one negative: He measured at 6-0, two inches shy of where Louisiana Tech listed him.
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40 |
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| Kyle Long |
| Oregon, senior |
| 6-6, 304 |
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OT |
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One play of Long's stood out, in particular, at the Senior Bowl. On a run wide left by Robbie Rouse, Long managed to pull way outside the hash marks to chop CB B.W. Webb and create a lane. The athletic Long missed full practices because he was sick, so the game was a nice showcase.
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