Posted: Wed February 27, 2013 12:25PM; Updated: Thu February 28, 2013 2:19PM
Don Banks
Don Banks>INSIDE THE NFL

2013 NFL Mock Draft 2.0

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Dion Jordan wowed scouts at the combine, running a 4.6 40 despite dealing with a shoulder injury.
Dion Jordan wowed scouts at the combine, running a 4.6 40 despite dealing with a shoulder injury.
Michael Conroy/AP

We told you this year's draft was one of those exception-to-rule affairs, and the just-completed NFL scouting combine in Indianapolis seemed to confirm it. To wit:

-- Very little buzz about the quarterbacks, with only West Virginia's Geno Smith currently seen as very likely to wind up in the first round.

-- Offensive linemen getting the lion's share of the respect and attention at the top, with five of the new top 10 in my new 2.0 mock draft being blockers.

-- And defensive linemen galore, with 11 of the final 22 picks in this mock being either defensive ends or tackles, and 12 out of 32 overall.

As always, for better or for worse, the combine changed plenty of perceptions as March and the league's free agency period approaches. Plenty of risers and fallers are reflected here when compared to my first mock, more than a month ago. As always, your results will vary....

 
1 OT Luke Joeckel Texas A&M Jr. 6-6 306
I'm not moving off of Joeckel in the top spot, because while the quarterback need in Kansas City is great, the anticipated Alex Smith-to-the-Chiefs trade makes all the sense in the world. If there's a debate at No. 1, it might be that Joeckel and Central Michigan left tackle Eric Fisher may be almost interchangeable from a draft-grade standpoint.
2 CB Dee Milliner Alabama Jr. 6-0 201
Milliner's 4.37 time in the 40-yard dash at the combine made him one of the hotter names as March looms, and all but assures him a top-five slot, upcoming shoulder surgery or not. Sure, the Jaguars need pass-rush help, and defensive linemen like Florida's Sharrif Floyd or Florida State's Bjoern Werner are sitting there for the taking. But they also have cornerbacks Derek Cox and Rashean Mathis entering free agency, and with the depth at defensive line in this draft, you should be able to get a quality starter in the second round. That's why you take the draft's best cornerback in the first round.
3 DT Sharrif Floyd Florida Jr. 6-3 297
If the Jaguars pounce on a defensive lineman at No. 2, it'll be Floyd. In that case, look for Milliner to land in Oakland, because the Raiders are equally desperate for cornerbacks. But Floyd running a 4.92 at almost 300 pounds got everyone's attention in Indy, and no matter the slot, he's now the favorite to become the first defensive lineman off the board.
4 G Chance Warmack Alabama Sr. 6-2 317
The Michael Vick re-signing fairly well convinced me that Chip Kelly is going to make do with what's already on hand in Philly this year on the quarterback front. But getting a better foundation built in front of an Eagles quarterback is the most pressing issue Kelly faces. Warmack is the best guard prospect to hit the NFL in many years, but Philadelphia could easily turn in the card for Central Michigan offensive tackle Eric Fisher as well.
5 OT Eric Fisher Central Michigan Sr. 6-7 306
The Lions don't just have a need at offensive line, they have needs, plural. With Jeff Backus and Dominic Raiola having played forever, and Gosder Cherilus entering free agency, Detroit can't afford to pass on a tackle prospect who some consider the equal of our projected No. 1 pick, Joeckel of Texas A&M. And with Georgia outside linebacker Jarvis Jones having his spinal stenosis confirmed at the combine, I don't see him being deemed worth a risk in the top five.
6 OLB Dion Jordan Oregon Sr. 6-6 248
The Browns whiffed on their pursuit of Oregon's Chip Kelly, but they can still land one of his favorite players, Ducks outside linebacker Dion Jordan, a freakishly gifted athlete and pass rusher who is drawing comparisons to 49ers outside linebacker/sack specialist Aldon Smith. Enough said.
7 OT Lane Johnson Oklahoma Jr. 6-6 303
Upon further review, I'm not buying the notion of Arizona investing a first-round pick into Southern Cal quarterback Matt Barkley. Not because of its Matt Leinart experience, because this is a partially new regime in Arizona and head coach Bruce Arians trusts his expertise when it comes to quarterbacks. But nobody helped themselves at the combine more than Johnson, who showed top-10 athleticism and would help shore up the Cardinals' glaring need at tackle. Without a passable offensive line, an Arizona quarterback doesn't have much of a chance anyway.
8 QB Geno Smith West Virginia Sr. 6-2 218
With a 4.56 time in the 40 at the combine, Smith proved he's in the ballpark with Colin Kaepernick and Russell Wilson when it comes to speed, whether he's considered a "running" quarterback or not. The Bills simply have to find an answer at quarterback, and I don't know how they pass on Smith, who at least gave himself a shot to go in the top 10 with a solid showing in almost every respect in Indianapolis.
9 WR Cordarrelle Patterson Tennessee Jr. 6-2 216
Patterson exited the combine with the aura of a top-10 talent, and as badly as the Jets need more juice on offense, it's difficult to see him slipping past New York. His one season of major college experience is a real concern, but his size, speed, athleticism and play-making ability will likely overcome that issue. Patterson carries some risk in the top 10, but since when have Rex Ryan and the Jets been timid on the personnel front?
10 OG Jonathan Cooper North Carolina Sr. 6-2 311
A no-brainer for the Titans if Cooper is sitting there at No. 10. Tennessee needs help in the interior on offense, and Cooper is rated just a shade behind Warmack overall, with slightly more athleticism and versatility than the Alabama star. Protecting Jake Locker better and giving Chris Johnson more room to run is the way Mike Munchak and Co. hope to improve on offense in 2013.
11 DT Star Lotulelei Utah Sr. 6-3 320
The discovery of Lotulelei's heart condition (involving insufficient blood flow) at the combine obviously leaves his draft status in question for now. But he has been given the go-ahead to continue to work out, and we'll know more about his long-term prognosis well before April arrives. He's going to carry a top-10 grade if he's cleared medically, and he's also exactly the kind of athletic and versatile defensive line talent San Diego craves.
12 DE Ezekiel Ansah BYU Sr. 6-5 271
The Dolphins appear to be in a slightly tough spot the way this mock falls, because with Cordarrelle Patterson gone at No. 9 they can't get the receiver they need, and with Dee Milliner rocketing all the way to No. 2, they aren't going to get the cover man they covet either. Florida State cornerback Xavier Rhodes may be a consideration, but top 12 seems high for him. My pick of Ansah reflects that he's one of the most intriguing prospects in this year's draft, with raw pass rush skills and rare athleticism. Ansah might require more patience than Miami can afford, and if so, FSU's Bjoern Werner would represent a safer option as a 4-3 end with some pass rush ability.
13 DE Bjoern Werner Florida State Jr. 6-3 266
The Bucs' greatest need is at cornerback, so Florida State's Xavier Rhodes may be in play here. But to take him, they'd probably have to bypass the draft's top-rated defensive end, Werner, also of FSU. Given Da'Quan Bowers' gun arrest, and Adrian Clayborn's injury issues, and Tampa Bay's dismal sack totals, Werner would seem too good to overlook.
14 DT Sheldon Richardson Missouri Jr. 6-2 294
Richardson was a very popular guy in Indy, meeting with 22 teams and exiting town with a top-half-of-the-draft buzz. With both Floyd and Lotulelei already taken at defensive tackle, he looks like the consensus choice for the Panthers, who need a 4-3 defensive tackle with athleticism and the ability to penetrate and disrupt plays.
15 OLB Jarvis Jones Georgia Jr. 6-2 245
Jones isn't going to fall too far, even with a case of spinal stenosis on his medical report. He's got top-10 talent, and some team will deem him worth risk, even if his career is shortened by the condition. The Saints are desperate for more pass rush, and in the 3-4 defense they will transition to this season, Jones could be a havoc-wreaking force coming off the edge for coordinator Rob Ryan.
16 S Kenny Vaccaro Texas Sr. 6-0 214
It's a nice blend of priority need and first-round grade for the Rams, who can land the top-rated safety in a safety-rich draft. Play-making receiver Tavon Austin of West Virginia or Notre Dame tight end Tyler Eifert would be tempting here, but the smart move is to take Vaccarro before No. 17 Pittsburgh does, and then come back and get either Austin or Eifert with the No. 22 pick St. Louis got from Washington in last year's Robert Griffin III blockbuster trade.
17 DE Damontre Moore Texas A&M Jr. 6-4 250
The Aggies junior didn't help himself at all in Indy, and it's possible his draft stock will slip down into the lower third of the first round. He ran a disappointing 4.95 and managed just 12 reps in the bench press, lowest among all defensive linemen. But the Steelers need some youth at outside linebacker and usually show patience with draft picks who might need a year or so to develop. If Moore's grade slipped too far to warrant being picked 17th, LSU outside linebacker Barkevious Mingo is a solid option for the Steelers.
18 OT D.J. Fluker Alabama Sr. 6-5 339
Based on need, the Cowboys could head in the defensive tackle direction, taking either Ohio State's Johnathan Hankins or North Carolina's Sylvester Williams. With the switch to a 4-3 defense, Dallas has to find a tackle or two in the draft. But offensive tackle is another issue that needs addressing, and Fluker is simply too highly rated to pass up in this offensive tackle-plentiful draft.
19 DE Datone Jones UCLA Sr. 6-3 283
If Fluker happens to get past No. 18 Dallas, I like his chances of becoming a Giant. But barring that, New York is always on the look-out for more talent on the defensive line. Jones is gaining momentum as March approaches, and he's an athletic 4-3 end prospect who had 5.5 sacks and 19 tackles for loss last season at UCLA.
20 TE Tyler Eifert Notre Dame Sr. 6-5 250
Eifert exited the combine with a clear-cut advantage over the draft's other highly rated tight end, Stanford's Zach Ertz. Eifert ran a decent 4.68 in the 40, and he was strong in all of his drills. His first-round grade seems assured at this point, and he'd be the new target the Bears are hoping to acquire for quarterback Jay Cutler.
21 DE-OLB Barkevious Mingo LSU Jr. 6-4 241
The Bengals could take the pass rusher Mingo if they have decided to let right defensive end Michael Johnson exit via free agency. Mingo ran an impressive 4.58 in the 40 at the combine, and he has great athleticism and edge burst, albeit with inconsistent production at times.
22 WR Tavon Austin West Virginia Sr. 5-9 174
(From Washington). The Rams need more offensive playmakers around quarterback Sam Bradford, and few in this year's draft are as exciting as Austin, who wowed the NFL crowd in Indy with a 4.34 time in the 40 and a great display catching the ball. If the Rams come out of the first round with Vaccarro and Austin, they will have taken a significant step toward improvement on both sides of the ball.
23 WR Keenan Allen Cal Jr. 6-2 206
Allen didn't work out in Indy due to a lingering knee issue, but he's the second-highest rated receiver behind Patterson, and the Vikings will be thrilled if he's still available. He's got a game and body type that has been compared to Anquan Boldin, and with or without Percy Harvin back in 2013, the Vikings need to upgrade their receiving weapons and give quarterback Christian Ponder more with which to work.
24 CB Xavier Rhodes Florida State Jr. 6-1 210
The Colts could use help at defensive tackle, so a player like Ohio State's Johnathan Hankins or North Carolina's Sylvester Williams has to be on the radar screen. But the DT talent pool is deeper in this draft than the cornerback slot, so Rhodes, the No. 2-rated corner, makes more sense at No. 24 for the corner-needy Colts.
25 DE Sam Montgomery LSU Jr. 6-3 262
The Seahawks need an upgrade for their pass rush, and are thought to be interested in UCLA defensive end Datone Jones, who we have going 19th overall to the Giants. Montgomery was the "other" end at LSU, the one not named Barkevious Mingo. But he may be a safer, more consistent bet in the NFL. SMU defensive end Margus Hunt had a strong combine and is another name to track for Seattle's neediest position.
26 RB Eddie Lacy Alabama Jr. 5-11 231
The Packers wouldn't surprise anyone if they took a defensive tackle like Alabama's Jessie Williams, Ohio State's Johnathan Hankins or North Carolina's Sylvester Williams. But I'm sticking with running back for them, albeit switching from Wisconsin's Montee Ball (who carries a second-round grade) to Alabama's Lacy, the only consensus first-round running back in the draft. Again, I think it's time the Packers found a reliable ground game to ease the pressure on Aaron Rodgers. Lacy didn't run or work out in Indy due to a slight hamstring issue, but his resume is on tape and available for viewing.
27 WR Terrance Williams Baylor Sr. 6-2 208
Maybe free agency changes our outlook for Houston, but it seems receiver has to get the first-round attention. The Texans don't have anyone to draw coverage away from Andre Johnson, and DeVier Posey's knee injury in the playoffs makes the situation even more dire. Williams, Clemson's DeAndre Hopkins, USC's Robert Woods, Tennessee's Justin Hunter or Tennessee Tech's Da'Rick Rogers are all possibilities to consider late in the first round.
28 CB Desmond Trufant Washington Sr. 5-11 190
With a blazing 4.38 time in the 40 at the combine, Trufant might have run his way into the lower reaches of the first round. Denver got exposed in the secondary in its playoff upset loss to Baltimore, and the need to find upgrades there out-paces even the holes to fill at defensive tackle and running back.
29 DT Sylvester Williams North Carolina Sr. 6-3 313
If Trufant gets past Denver, the Patriots should pounce, given their continuing issues in pass coverage. Mississippi State's Johnthan Banks is another option, although his "slow" 40 time (4.61) might knock him out of the first round. If there's no cornerback the Patriots deem worthy of a first-round grade, there's a need to find help at defensive tackle, with hopefully some ability to disrupt the play and rush the passer from the interior. Williams is a better fit than the run-stopping Johnathan Hankins of Ohio State or Kawann Short of Purdue.
30 DE Alex Okafor Texas Sr. 6-4 264
The Falcons need pass rush help, and Okafor has some sack skills and speed off the edge. There's a lot of depth at defensive end toward the bottom of the first round, and sack-deficient Atlanta might as well take advantage of it.
31 DE Margus Hunt SMU Sr. 6-8 277
The 49ers have a lot of options, with needs at defensive tackle, safety and cornerback that give them quality players to choose from at No. 31. But Hunt is a fast-rising prospect who measured in at 6-8, 277 pounds, and showed strength (38 reps at 225 pounds) and speed (4.6) at the combine. He's a name to watch as an eventual replacement for veteran five-technique defensive end Justin Smith.
32 LB Alec Ogletree Georgia Jr. 6-2 242
For now, until he runs a better 40 at his pro day, I'm working under the assumption that Manti Te'o might have dropped himself out of first-round contention with that 4.82 in the 40 at the combine. Ogletree has character issues that make teams wary, including a recent DUI, but Baltimore isn't afraid to take chances on a special player with a red flag or two.
 
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POSITION RANKINGS: Offense | Defense
TROTTER: A new era for offensive linemen?
 
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