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6/07/2007 12:21:00 PM

AL West: The Deadball Era

Dan Haren
The A's lack of offense could cost Dan Haren the Cy Young award.
Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images
By Mallory Rubin

For many modern-day baseball fans, a high-scoring affair is far more exciting than a pitchers' duel.

But the Oakland A's aren't from this era. The Athletics, it seems, hate runs. They don't score them; they don't give them up. Currently, the A's are 12th in the league in runs scored per game and first in the league in runs allowed per game. But is this deadball era style of baseball a recipe for success? Can the team make it to the postseason if it gives up the fewest runs, but also scores the fewest?

It's unlikely. Sure, pitching wins championships -– and right now, led by Dan Haren and Chad Gaudin, the A's pitching is as good as it gets -– but somewhere along the line someone has to hit and the team has to score.

The A's are 31-27 and are in third place by percentage points, 5 1/2 games behind the AL West-leading Angels. The A's have won five in a row thanks to a combination of outstanding pitching and offensive prowess (which in this case is defined as scoring four runs on June 3, five on June 4 and three on June 6), but it's doubtful they will be able to keep it up long enough to surpass the Angels, who, after all, aren't playing deadball baseball. The Angels are right behind the A's with the second-fewest runs allowed per game, but they're seventh in the league in runs scored per game, averaging more than a half-run higher than the A's.

The A's rank in the top-five in only one major offensive category: walks (second, with 238). But their hitting has been so poor that even though they have earned a lot of walks, they are still only in the middle of the pack (eighth) in on-base percentage, the former key to their success and the pet-stat of general manager Billy Beane. No one on the team with at least 100 at-bats is hitting .300, though Dan Johnson (.284) and Nick Swisher (.299) are close. And the A's, who are 13th in stolen bases, don't have enough team speed -– and don't utilize the speed they do have -– to create more scoring opportunities when someone actually manages to get on base.

The A's, especially of late, have relied on rare offensive occurrences to pull out wins. But it's unlikely that Eric Chavez will hit many more walk-off home runs this season, or that Mark Ellis will again hit for the cycle (as they did against the Red Sox on June 4). It's certainly just as likely Jack Cust will fall into a prolonged and shocking strikeout slump as he will into another home run hitting streak.

Serious baseball fans want to believe that a lot of runs don't necessarily equate to a more exciting game, but the fact is the A's are pretty boring. Watching talented young pitchers emerge is always a thrill, but watching this offense is only slightly less dull than tracking the growth of a single blade of grass. Swisher might be the only all-around entertaining and promising non-pitcher currently on the A's.




  • Haren, the best pitcher this season in Oakland and arguably in the league, has suffered as a result of the team's anemic offensive performance. Haren, who was recently named the AL Pitcher of the Month, has been nothing short of spectacular. His ERA (1.70) and WHIP (.867) are astounding and the best in the league. He also leads the league in hits allowed per nine innings pitched with 5.70. Still, Haren is only 6-2. If he pitched for the Angels and had Vladimir Guerrero knocking in runs in his starts, he'd certainly have as many wins or more than Angels' starter John Lackey, who is tied for the league lead in wins with nine and is also having a career season. Wins for pitchers may be one of the most overrated statistics in sports, but if the A's can't get more wins for Haren, they also won't be able to get to the playoffs.

  • Trade rumors have been swirling around Rangers first baseman Mark Teixeira, but Rangers general manager Jon Daniels said Tuesday he is not planning on dealing the All-Star. Daniels admitted his team, which is currently in last place and 16 games back, will be a seller this summer, but said he has not had any conversations with other teams about Teixeira. Teixeira is signed through this season and is arbitration-eligible through 2008, at which point he can become a free agent. Daniels acknowledged he will always listen to another team's offer, but said the Rangers are not actively talking about or shopping Teixeira.

  • Through June 5, only two players from the AL West were leading at their positions in the All-Star voting. Guerrero is the leading vote-getter among AL outfielders and Ichiro Suzuki is third.

  • Though he was only drafted in 2006, Mariners pitcher Brandon Morrow has already settled into his major-league role. He projects as a starter, but for now he is having great success setting up for closer J.J. Putz. Since his April 3 debut, Morrow has dominated with a 99-mph fastball and has allowed only 12 hits and four earned runs.

  • On June 2, Joe Blanton led the A's to victory over the Twins in 1:49. The assembled crowd then had to wait more than an hour for the scheduled postgame fireworks. Athletics Nation takes a humorous look at some baseball occurrences that have been even quicker this season. One example: Swisher's supposed vow of silence, which the blogger claims lasted all of 12 minutes.

  • Bartolo Colon will return to the mound on Friday against the Cardinals. The 2005 AL Cy Young winner has been out with triceps tendonitis, but looks to bolster an already strong Angels starting staff.

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    posted by SI.com | View comments |  
  • Comments:

    You're just wrong. The A's were 9th of the 14 AL terms in runs scored last year, but made the playoffs because they were 3rd in runs allowed. It's true that if the Angels keep this pace up, no one will catch up, but that's kind of obvious, as they have the 2nd best record in the AL. The point is, you can win games without scoring a lot of runs and make the playoffs, as long as your pitching's good enough.
    Posted: June 8, 2007 12:25 AM   by Anonymous
    Part of the problem with the A's scoring is that they've had so many injuries this year. They've used 14 outfielders. 14! At one point the only outfielder who was part of the opening day roster was Stewart and he was originaly number 5 or 6 on the depth chart. Part of it is how there roster is put together (guys like Bradley who are injury prone). Chavez just came out and said he's healthy for the first time this year, and he's hit like it in the last week with 4 home runs. And they're winning without their 2 best bullpen arms, and most talented starter. If they are healthy they're a better team than the Angels, but that's a big if with this team.
    I don't believe you had to say all because you hate the A's. It's common sense that if you allow less runs than you can score you can win more games than you'll lose. You have to look also at the differential of run scores and runs scored against. I haven't done the math but the A's should be right there in the top four. Anyway, I happen to like low scoring well pitched games than blowouts home run derbys. If I want to see a lot of points scored I'd go to a basketball game.
    Posted: June 9, 2007 11:05 AM   by Anonymous
    what i can't understand, is the a's
    have have more players on the disabled list in 2 months of play than any other team. could it be different if we were healthly? this
    team is finding ways to win without
    their team at full strength. they are in a al west division that is very competitive, and still above
    500. what does that say about the
    other teams that use that as
    an excuse as to why they are below
    500. the angels are good, the mariners are a surprise, but as usual,the a's are always in it.
    Posted: June 11, 2007 2:45 AM   by Anonymous
    A's have had more people on the DL than any other team in baseball. Just the fact that they were able to keep pace with the torrid Angels is a testament to their pitching staff. Once their batters get healthy, as well as some of their pitchers, you can expect their stats to improve.
    Posted: June 11, 2007 11:19 AM   by Anonymous
    What really pisses me off is the comment under the picture of Dan Haren saying that the lack of offensive support could cost Haren a Cy Young this year. When are idiot voters goint to realize that judging a pitcher's worth based on an aspect of the game he has no control over is idiotic?
    Determining a CY Young effort by W-L record is absurd. Some pitchers have 2-6 records with mid 3 ERAs and last year Becket had how many wins (12+ I think) with an ERA over 5 (again, from memory). Is anyone saying Becket was the better pitcher? That is ludicrous.
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