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Bring on the Cup
craziness!
Posted: Tue June 9,
1998
Sports Illustrated soccer writer Grant Wahl will answer
your World Cup questions through the Finals.
Click here to send a
question.
Well, it's finally here.
World Cup '98 starts Wednesday, June 10, when Brazil meets
Scotland in the shiny new Stade de France outside Paris,
and if all goes well I'll be there taking it all in. Thanks
to a remarkable bit of planning (OK: pure luck) I flew
British Airways over
to Paris on Monday
night instead of Air France (the official World Cup airline),
whose pilots picked a convenient time to go on strike. On
the way over I even tried to learn a phrase or two of
French (or I might just remain the ugly American, speaking
only English and wearing
my Yankees hat all the time. We'll
see.)
If you're a soccer fan like me, though, the upcoming month
will be nothing short of Nirvana. I'll be answering your
questions at least once a week from France, and we'll have
plenty to talk about, whether it's regarding the United
States or other teams.
My plan for the first round is to see 10 games in eight
cities, including all three U.S. matches as the Yanks try
to buck the odds and qualify for the second
round.
What's great about the first round? Upsets. Cameroon over
Argentina in '90. The U.S. over Colombia in '94. No-name
teams always find a way to surprise the heavyweights (and
with a record 32 teams in the field it's sure to happen
even more frequently
this year). Of course, none of them have ever gone on to win
the Cup, but such is life. Here are some teams to keep an
eye
on in the first round: Norway, Chile, Saudi Arabia, Paraguay
and Japan. I'll even go so far as to predict an
upset-special on Thursday:
Chile will beat Italy and set off a wicked chain of events
that would pit the Italians against Brazil in the second
round. (Note: you still have time to get your World Cup office
pool going, so do
it!)
Only six
countries have ever won the Cup, so my semifinal picks are
more established: Brazil, Argentina, France and
Germany. I'll go out on a limb and pick France over Argentina 2-1
in the
finalthe French would be first-time
winners.
As the games get going, keep in mind some advice I heard
once from a cab driver in Buenos Aires. It was the day
after the U.S. had stunned Argentina 3-0 in the '95 Copa
America, and I asked him how Argentina could have lost. He
shrugged his shoulders
and said, "El fútbol es así."
That's the way soccer
is.
Some things just defy explanation, and that's the wonderful
part of the beautiful game. (It's also a hedge to keep me
from looking like an idiot when Italy slams Chile 5-1). On
to some
questions....
Do you think the United States has a chance at beating
Germany? Can we make it to the second
round?
Tom Riordan, Lenexa,
Kans.
From one Kansan to another, Tom, I don't see it happening.
The U.S. has improved immeasurably since '94 (the Yanks
actually try to score now), and in talking to Eric Wynalda
and Thomas Dooley last week it came across that they really
believe they can
get to the second round. But I'll be clear: the U.S. was
horribly unlucky to have drawn Germany and Yugoslavia in
the first round. Germany's only soft spot is its old and
creaky defensive line, but its midfield controls the ball
far too well to let the
U.S. advance into the offensive third with any
regularity.
As for Yugoslavia, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Yugos
beat the Germans and take the top spot in Group F. They're
that good. Anyone who watched Yugoslavia thrash Nigeria 3-0
last week knows how dangerous its attack can be. It comes
in waves, and I
don't think the three U.S. defenders will be able to contain
the pressure. Yugoslavia should reach at least the
quarterfinals, and there's no reason it can't make the
semis.
That said, I think the U.S. is capable of pulling an upset,
and it would likely come against Yugoslavia, which has had
a tendency to self-destruct when it gets down. I could see
the Americans salvaging a scoreless draw from a tentative
Germany in the
first match, but if Germany scores at all it will win. Against
Iran, it's imperative for the U.S. to pile up as many goals
as possible, since the U.S. could advance to the second
round with a win and two ties, using the goal-differential
tie-breaker.
However you look at it, though, it's going to be
tough.
In 1990, Cameroon delighted the world. In 1994, Bulgaria
was the surprise of the tournament. Who will be this year's
Bulgaria or Cameroon, if
anybody?
Mike Pavlick,
Pittsburgh
My suggestion: warm up to Chile. Generally thought of as
the fourth- or fifth-best team in South America, Chile has
a favorable draw (slow-starting Italy in its first game,
followed by pedestrian Austria and by-then-eliminated
Cameroon) and the
tournament's most underrated tandem in strikers Marcelo Salas and
Ivan Zamorano. If the rest of the players can make sure the
ball is on their feet, you'll see Chile in the
quarters.
How concerned are players and coaches about the new
tackle-from-behind red-card rule? While the idea is sound,
is there concern that the rule will not be applied
even-handedly by referees? My own fear is that the
powerhouse countries (Italy, Germany, France, England,
Brazil) will get away with many illegal tackles, while
smaller countries will get players sent off right away.
Your
thoughts?
Ahpaly Coradin,
Tokyo
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Ronaldo will likely be unaffected by FIFA's crackdown on illegal tackling.
(Allsport UK/Allsport)
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For those of you who don't know, FIFA has instructed
referees to immediately eject any player who commits an
illegal tackle from behind, instead of issuing a
yellow-card warning as in past years. It's a noble goal,
but I have three concerns. One, as you
suggest, there's no way a referee is going to eject
Brazil's megastar Ronaldo (or more likely, Roberto Carlos)
unless he pulls a knife on an opposing player, whereas some
grinding defender from Croatia will be gone at the drop of
a hat (or the
convincing dive of a forward). Two, some referees might enforce the
rule more tightly than others. And three, the rule might
not get enforced by anyone, and then we'll be back to the
dark days of Italy '90 and hackfest scoreless
draws.
Let's hope that doesn't
happen.
Is U.S. coach Steve Sampson sending the wrong message to
his team and followers by playing with only one striker?
Yes, it is smart to play defensively, but this team is not
known for scoring (see Macedonia) and playing this type of
system is not going to promote
it.
Randy Bardock, Lethbridge,
England
If I were the coach, Randy, I'd play with at least two
forwards. Hell, I'd play with three or four. But if you've
seen the U.S. play recently you've noticed that the three
designated forwards are either unhealthy (Eric Wynalda is
still ailing after knee
surgery but will probably start) or incapable (Brian
McBride and Roy Wegerle may be superstars against El
Salvador and Canada, but against Germany and Yugoslavia?
Come on.) Sampson realizes this, so he's decided to use six
midfielders to maximize the
team's speed on the wings (Frankie Hejduk and Cobi Jones)
while giving Claudio Reyna a sound support system to create
plays (with midfielder Ernie Stewart, Chad Deering and
Brian
Maisonneuve).
| |
Wynalda isn't at full-strength, but will probably start at forward for the United States.
(Otto Greule/Allsport)
|
I disagree with your point that this is a defensive system.
As long as Chad Deering and Brian Maisonneuve don't play
like defendersand usually they don'tthe 3-6-1
can create scoring opportunities. Of course you need a
finisher to make it work. If I
had my druthers I would start Preki Radosavljevic up front
either by himself or, even better, alongside Wynalda in a
3-5-2. Preki needs to be on the field for 90 minutes.
Without a 100-percent Wynalda, Preki is the only dangerous
scorer on the entire U.S.
team (see the United States' 1-0 win over Brazil in
February) and the only American who puts fear in opposing
teams.
Do you think the African teams are ready? And which group
is the most
difficult?
Sombie Ibrahima, Bishkek,
Kyrgyzstan
Contrary to popular opinion, I'm not expecting much from
the African teams this year. Tunisia, South Africa and
Cameroon will be gone in a heartbeat, but the wildcard will
be Nigeria. There's no question the Nigerians have loads of
talent. The problem
is that, with the exception of Taribo West, none of it is on
defense. Their coach, Bora Milutinovic, told me as much six
weeks ago, and that was before starting keeper Ike Shorunmu
broke his arm. Shoronmu's replacement, Abiodum Baruwa, is
absolutely
horrible. Against Yugoslavia last week he couldn't even get to
corner kicks inside the six-yard box, and his bungling of a
back-pass led directly to a Yugoslav goal. A 5-1 loss to
Holland over the weekend didn't help his cause,
either.
To answer your second question, Nigeria happens to be stuck
in Group D (the so-called "Group of Death") with
Spain, Bulgaria and Paraguay. Any of those four teams would
be good enough to take first in the other
groups.
Thanks for your questions, everyone, and keep 'em coming.
I'll check back in later this week. In the meantime, enjoy
the
Cup.
Send a question to Grant
Wahland come back throughout the World Cup to read more of his
responses.
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