The Jaguars and the Bengals have met six times, and the final margin has never been more than eight points. Cincy knows how to play Jacksonville, which is coming off a rout of Baltimore. The upset is inviting, but I'll chicken out and take the Jaguars.
Looks Close, but Won't Happen
The Patriots over the Falcons, who share the NFC West lead but must prove they can beat a contender.
The Raiders over the Ravens, who will have home field advantage, just as they did last week when they were blown out.
The Jets over the Cinderella Bills. Buffalo is hard to handicap because little Doug Flutie keeps doing amazing things, but I'll stick with the formula of the Jets coming up big in division games.
The Packers over the Steelers. You have to fear the natural letdown after Green Bay's midseason Super Bowl against the Niners, but Pittsburgh is banged up, particularly on the offensive line.
The Bucs over the Oilers. These are two teams that need the big, thumping running game to stay in business. Has Tampa Bay really turned the corner? I say yes.
The Eagles over the Lions. This is one team that Ray Rhodes knows how to beat.