|
POS |
PLAYER, TEAM |
BA |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
|
C |
MIKE NAPOLI, Angels
|
.239 |
50 |
17 |
52 |
3 |
|
Sure, he might hit not hit much better than .228, his
'06 average, but that's an acceptable price to pay at a position where power is
in great demand. Last year Napoli banged one homer per 16.8 at bats, a rate
better than that of AL MVP Justin Morneau. |
|
1B |
CONOR JACKSON, Diamondbacks
|
.294 |
83 |
18 |
74 |
2 |
|
He plays like a young Paul Konerko, which means he's
a good bet to improve on his home run output (15 in '06). His RBI total should
also increase in Arizona's young and improving lineup, particularly if he hits
in the cleanup spot, as anticipated. |
|
2B |
JOSH BARFIELD, Indians
|
.267 |
69 |
15 |
65 |
11 |
|
The bad news is that the former Padre will be hurt by
the switch to the more difficult American League. The good news is that he
still offers plenty as an under-the-radar fantasy pick, including power numbers
that should improve outside of canyonlike Petco Park. |
|
3B |
EDWIN ENCARNACION, Reds |
.277 |
84 |
23 |
78 |
9 |
|
His counting stats (15 HRs, 72 RBIs) were held down
in '06 because of an ankle injury that cost him nearly a month, but he ended
the year healthy and at age 24 is on the upslope of his career. Think a younger
version of Aramis Ramirez. |
|
SS |
STEPHEN DREW, Diamondbacks
|
.287 |
83 |
22 |
81 |
4 |
|
With all the great young shortstops in the NL, the
younger brother of J.D. gets lost in the shuffle. Stephen strikes out too often
to replicate the .316 BA he put up during a stretch-run trial in Arizona, but
his minor league track record suggests the potential for 20 to 30 homers. |
|
OF |
COREY HART, Brewers |
.288 |
76 |
20 |
67 |
18 |
|
Ned Yost has handed Hart the rightfield job for a
reason: He's a fantastic athlete whose power, speed and stature recall a young
Andre Dawson. Hart stole 31 bases in '05, his last full season in the minors,
and a 30-30 season isn't out of the question if he gets 500 at bats. |
|
Util |
B.J. UPTON, Devil Rays
|
.268 |
69 |
10 |
40 |
30 |
|
He presents obvious risks after a shaky start in
spring training, but the combination of his speed and positional versatility
(he can play five spots) are too tempting to pass on. The power upside is there
too; anybody who crushes a dozen homers in Triple A at 19 deserves the benefit
of the doubt. |
Sleepy-eyed
Elijah Dukes sits behind the wheel of his white Escalade and gazes out into the
sun-rinsed Florida morning, nothing but open highway and serenity in front of
him. Whenever he makes the 40-minute drive from his house in Brandon, Fla., to
St. Petersburg, the spring training home of the Tampa Bay Devil Rays, Dukes
sees his tragic and troubled past recede further into the rearview mirror.
"Every time I get to the ballpark, I forget all the problems I've dealt
with," says the 22-year-old outfielder. "Baseball's my haven."
A ripped 6'2", 250-pound high school All-America linebacker who plays all
three outfield positions with effortless grace, Dukes is arguably the most
talented prospect from the most talent-rich minor league system in the majors.
Nobody in the Tampa Bay organization would be stunned if he became an elite
player within five years. Nor would anybody be surprised if Dukes--who's been
arrested six times in the last nine years--were out of baseball altogether in a
year.
Dukes is Exhibit
A for a tantalizing yet maddening player development program that has neither
broken the franchise's nine-year run of losing seasons nor been able to avoid
embarrassing headlines. Consider how 2006 unspooled for the organization's
prized jewels at Triple A Durham. Rightfielder Delmon Young, 21, a budding Vlad
Guerrero clone and the top pick of the '03 draft, threw his bat at an umpire in
April and received a 50-game suspension. Shortstop-turned third baseman B.J.
Upton, 22, the second pick of the '02 draft once hailed as Derek Jeter with
more power, was arrested in June for driving while intoxicated. And Dukes, USA
Today's top two-sport high school athlete in '02 and Tampa Bay's third-round
pick that year, was suspended for the last month of the season for
misconduct.
All three
prospects arrived at spring training eager to forget the past, and with Opening
Day two weeks away, are virtually certain to start the season in the Show--not
to mention attract wild bidding in any fantasy keeper leagues. "We
absolutely think they're ready to contribute at the major league level,"
says executive vice president Andrew Friedman. "We have no doubts about
their physical abilities; on the mental side, I think all three have made some
big strides."
Of the three,
Dukes has the most to overcome and, according to no shortage of baseball scouts
and executives, the most upside. He says he models his playing style after that
of Pete Rose--on one play at the plate last year Dukes barreled over the
catcher and an umpire--and at bat he displays both lightning-quick hands and
exceptional command of the strike zone. Says the scouting director of a rival
team, "In terms of raw ability, he might be as good as any prospect in the
game, but if you asked all [the scouting directors in the majors] where he
ranks among all prospects, no one would put him in their top 50 simply because
of his off-field history."
That history dogs
him wherever he goes, even in his home ballpark. After striking out during an
exhibition game in St. Petersburg last week, he walked back to the dugout to
heckles of "Criminal!" from the stands. Dukes's rap sheet includes
arrests for domestic violence in 1998; for assault in 2003 (the charge was
dropped); for resisting an officer in '03; for domestic battery in 2005 (he
pleaded no contest and received one year's probation); and for driving an
unregistered vehicle in '05. Two months ago he was arrested for marijuana
possession.
The low point of
his baseball career came last August, when Rays minor league director Mitch
Lukevics informed him that he was suspended for the final 30 games of the
season. Nine days before Dukes had been ejected from a game for arguing balls
and strikes with an ump, then had refused to leave the dugout. There's a reason
for Dukes's anger, and he offers it not as an alibi but as a tacit plea for
understanding. He grew up in crime-ridden East Tampa and was 11 years old when
his father, Elijah Dukes Sr., fatally shot a man who, according to Tampa police
reports, swindled Elijah Sr.'s wife, Phyllis, into buying $100 worth of phony
crack cocaine. A year later Elijah Sr., pleaded guilty to second-degree murder
and was sentenced to 20 years in prison. "Having to grow up with that when
you're 12, having to fend for yourself and be the man of the house, that's not
easy," says Dukes, who has five siblings. "That probably made me a
little angry as a kid, and maybe that's why I sometimes feel like I have to be
more aggressive than I need to be."
To help Dukes
manage his anger issues, Friedman introduced him to Boston-based life coach
Andre Norman, an ex-convict who had been imprisoned for attempted murder. The
two spoke almost daily during the off-season, and Norman escorted Dukes on a
tour of east coast cities to talk to troubled youths. "I was shy, kind of a
loner type," says Dukes, "but talking to people opened me up."
At camp this
spring, coaches and teammates have similarly found Dukes to be more outgoing
and at ease than in the past. "He's working hard, listening to everything
that's being said, saying all the right things," says hitting coach Steve
Henderson.
The Tampa staff
applies that same description to Dukes's close friend Young, who even before
the infamous bat-throwing incident had a reputation as a malcontent, often
grousing during his brief stint in the minors that he deserved a promotion to
the majors. The meltdown and subsequent suspension, however, apparently served
as a wake-up call. Upton, then Young's teammate at Durham, recalls rushing into
the locker room and hollering, "Do you know what you just did? What were
you thinking?" Young immediately dialed up Friedman on his cellphone to
apologize.
The younger
brother of 11-year vet Dmitri Young, Delmon passed the days of his banishment
by fulfilling a 52-hour community service requirement. He taught baseball to
disabled children. He spoke to sick kids at the Ronald McDonald House. He
played wheelchair softball. "The experiences were eye-opening," he
says. "Sometimes you do take for granted the opportunities you have. Maybe
I did."