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DAVID SABINO
September 04, 2006
Summer Studs Despite the common perception, sometimes a player's preseason success does translate to regular-season success
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September 04, 2006

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2005 PRESEASON RUSHING LEADERS PRESEASON YARDS REGULAR-SEASON YARDS
CHESTER TAYLOR Ravens 270 487
LARRY JOHNSON Chiefs 254 1,750
ADRIAN PETERSON Bears 233 391
MICHAEL TURNER Chargers 222 335
STEVEN JACKSON Rams 215 1,046
MIKE ANDERSON Broncos 210 1,014
VERNAND MORENCY Texans 209 184
THOMAS JONES Bears 194 1,335
JULIUS JONES Cowboys 193 993
RON DAYNE Broncos 187 270

Summer Studs
Despite the common perception, sometimes a player's preseason success does translate to regular-season success

NEARLY EVERYONE says that preseason football stats mean nothing. Take a look at the rushing leaders from the 2005 preseason, however, and you'll see some players who went on to become regular-season starters--or stars. (Players are listed with their '05 teams.) This doesn't mean you should go out of your way to draft '06 preseason leaders in the early rounds, but some definitely are worth a later pick, especially in keeper leagues.


SIEVES AND STONEWALLS
In 2005 NFL defenses allowed 166 100-yard receiving games, 138 100-yard rushing games and 64 300-yard passing games. Use the chart below to help you set your lineup accordingly early in the season.

DIGITAL PROJECTION

Playing the Futures Game
PROTRADE.com takes fantasy rankings to the next level by incorporating projected statistics. Here are PROTRADE's top 10 players at each skill position.



THERE'S A method to this madness. In order to help its members buy and sell players, PROTRADE.com, a website that treats sports like the stock market, uses an advanced mathematical method to project the production of each NFL player listed on its site. PROTRADE employs depth charts, historical and situational statistics and a regression analysis involving more than 100 quantitative variables to answer two questions: 1) How many attempts--passes, carries, receptions etc.--will the player likely get in 2006, and 2) How will he perform on a per-attempt basis? After adjusting the expected usage for schedule, PROTRADE then projects the approximate numbers each player is likely to put up in the '06 season. Rankings are determined by weighting certain statistics more heavily depending on the position.

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