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Big Play with John Elliot
John Elliot
May 28, 2007
WHO: Ryuji Imada
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May 28, 2007

Big Play With John Elliot

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Fort Myers-- Naples (5.3/11) Shuffleboard championships moved to coincide with Fall Series
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Buffalo (3.9/9) Winter lasts until early June
Orlando-- Daytona Beach (3.8/7) It's the only way Tiger's neighbors can actually see him
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Detroit (3.0/7) Someone has to check out all those Buick ads
Las Vegas (3.0/6) There are opportunities to bet on every shot
Louisville (3.0/6) When the ponies don't run, locals watch birdies

WHO: Ryuji Imada

WHAT: 263-yard three-wood into the water

WHERE: 576-yard par-5 18th hole at TPC Sugarloaf

WHEN: First playoff hole of the AT&T Classic

WHY

Imada blew his chances by letting emotion, instead of reason, inform his decision to attempt a miracle shot over a water hazard from a downhill lie in the rough. Yes, Zach Johnson was in position to make birdie, but Imada, hitting first, had at best a one-in-10 chance of making the 252-yard carry over water and hitting the green. Had Imada laid up, his likelihood of a birdie would have jumped to three or four chances in 10.

JOHN'S TIP

Forget the Hero Shot; Divide and Conquer

When facing a decision to go for broke or lay up, the facts will almost always show that a miracle shot isn't the smart play. Instead, divide the shot in two. In Imada's situation (right), his best chance at birdie would've come from hitting two short irons of approximately the same distance. Situations vary, but the idea of breaking one hard shot into two easier ones usually makes sense.

John Elliott teaches at St. Andrews Golf & Country Club in West Chicago, Ill.

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