There is something
undeniably appealing in the way certain athletes summon nonchalance when the
clock is short and the pressure high. Yet there is a tissue-thin difference
between cool and complacent, between confidence and hubris. We saw it three
years ago with the Lakers of Shaq and Kobe, who remained certain they could not
be beaten by the Spurs in the Western Conference finals up to the very moment
they were. The same fate almost befell this year's Pistons, whose lofty
self-regard nearly led to their demise. Their 4-3 series win over Cleveland in
the Eastern semis required fortuitous bounces, some late adjustments from
suddenly beleaguered coach Flip Saunders (who seemed to remember in the nick of
time that he was permitted to make adjustments) and a climactic half of
lockdown D epitomized by Cleveland's Larry Hughes calling a timeout with 10
seconds on the shot clock, simply because he had no one to pass the ball
to.
Now the Pistons
face the Heat, having lost their air of invincibility in the wake of another
remarkable playoff performance from LeBron James, who once again took a crowbar
to the traditional learning curve and bent it into a 45-degree vector. Pistons
players were thankful that number 23's teammates disappeared in Game 7,
shooting 9 for 41. As one scout following the playoffs says, "I keep
telling people, 'Enjoy beating LeBron now, while you still can.'"
Given their
rediscovered sense of urgency, the Pistons enter the East finals as the
favorite, but the Cavs did expose their soft spots. Ben Wallace didn't just
miss free throws; he went 0 for 7 in Game 5. The short bench-essentially
forward Antonio McDyess and guard Lindsey Hunter-wasn't merely a shortcoming;
it became a liability when Rasheed Wallace hurt his ankle in Game 4. These were
the Pistons with their guard down. It was like walking in on Oprah before she's
done her makeup, an icon unfamiliar and unprepared.
Pat Riley and the
Heat were watching-the Pistons, that is, not Oprah-and taking notes, for there
were valuable lessons in this series that Miami can apply in the coming
fortnight.
?Take away the arc.
The Pistons rely on the long ball. Close to half (42%) of Chauncey Billups's
shots this season were threes, and Rasheed Wallace took nearly 200 more
trifectas than a year ago. Noting this, the Cavs, with the exception of center
Zydrunas Ilgauskas, switched all picks on the perimeter to deny step-back
threes. "Most teams don't switch on that because they're worried about a
'small' guarding Rasheed," explained Cavs assistant Michael Malone.
"But when they hit threes is when they really get off." Normally a team
can exploit these switches in two ways: They can flatten out and the guard can
drive on a forward or center, or they can "roll" their screen-setting
big man into the post for a mismatch. But when the Pistons tried to do the
latter against the Cavs, Mike Brown had his weakside big release and switch
onto Rasheed immediately, with frequent success.
?They rely
disproportionately on Rasheed. The Pistons are 12-0 in the playoffs when the
more ornery of the Wallaces scores 20 or more. Saunders calls Wallace "the
MVP of the team," while Billups says, "he's definitely our most
talented player." Not only does the team feed off 'Sheed emotionally-as
strange as that may sound, considering his volatility-but he also keys their
game on both ends with his ability to score from the perimeter and his
help-side defense.
?They're vulnerable
if spaced. When James was double-teamed, Cleveland's guards were able to get to
the basket. The Cavs instructed James to keep his dribble and retreat when he
got doubled-using him as "bait" their coaches said-to pull Detroit
defenders farther from the basket. James would then make a quick pass to the
off-guard, who immediately drove to the lane. "The easy shot is to settle
for a long jump shot," said Malone. "But what you need to do is attack
those closeouts and get to the rim." Miami's wingmen are better shooters
than what the Cavs have, so Riley has a tough choice: drive the lane or launch
threes. (One guess on how Antoine Walker will "solve" this
dilemma.)
But let's not
forget that the Heat has problems of its own. Perimeter defense is perhaps
their greatest weakness, making them especially susceptible to Rasheed. Jason
Williams isn't strong enough to guard Billups off the pick- and-roll or in the
post, so Riley will have to play Gary Payton most-if not all-of the fourth
quarter. Walker is also a defensive liability, so expect to see a lot of James
Posey on Tayshaun Prince, Detroit's most consistent offensive threat in the
Cavs series. And if Detroit packs it in against Dwyane Wade, as they did
occasionally against James, he will be forced to rely on his at-times-suspect
outside stroke.
If the Eastern
semis dispelled some of the popular myths about the Pistons, they only enhanced
the lore of LeBron. He made even casual observers of the sport watch in the
same way they once watched Bo Jackson and Tiger Woods, with the expectation
that they might see something they had never seen before. He made you afraid
not to watch. That omnipresent Nike campaign was manipulative, but it was
brilliant. So what exactly did we witness? In 13 playoff games James averaged
30.8 points, 8.1 rebounds and 5.8 assists. He had two triple doubles, sank two
game-winners and adapted his game admirably. Washington played him straight up,
so he attacked the basket. Detroit doubled, so he consistently found the open
man. "I think this is the smartest basketball he's played," Cavs'
forward Doneyell Marshall said of James before Game 7. "He's not pressing
the issue. We're always saying to him, 'It's your time.' But it seems that the
more we say that, the more he passes the ball. So now we just let him do his
thing and let him take over when he's ready to take over."
Hubie Brown, the
Hall of Fame coach-slash-announcer, was also impressed. "This guy has eyes
as good as anyone who's ever been a passer up front," Brown says. "I
always thought Rick Barry and Larry Bird were the two best up front out of the
double team. This kid is better. You put his name in a sentence with only two
guys, Oscar Robertson and Michael Jordan."