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Trotter's Take
Jim Trotter
December 24, 2007
The football gods were not happy that the coach of a 4--9 team on a seven-game losing streak, the Ravens' Brian Billick, would play for overtime rather than go for a win on fourth down at the opponent's one-yard line with 12 seconds left in regulation. So after Matt Stover kicked the short field goal that gave Baltimore a 16--16 tie at Miami, he missed a 44-yarder in OT. Cleo Lemon then hit Greg Camarillo for a 64-yard touchdown pass that gave the Dolphins their first victory of the year. Think Billick (above) was playing the percentages? Consider that since 2004, NFL teams have successfully converted 67.1% of fourth-and-one attempts. By contrast, in that same span road teams have won just 46.9% of overtime games. Two years ago Dick Vermeil of the Chiefs went for a TD from one yard out with five seconds left and beat Oakland 27--23.
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December 24, 2007

Trotter's Take

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The football gods were not happy that the coach of a 4--9 team on a seven-game losing streak, the Ravens' Brian Billick, would play for overtime rather than go for a win on fourth down at the opponent's one-yard line with 12 seconds left in regulation. So after Matt Stover kicked the short field goal that gave Baltimore a 16--16 tie at Miami, he missed a 44-yarder in OT. Cleo Lemon then hit Greg Camarillo for a 64-yard touchdown pass that gave the Dolphins their first victory of the year. Think Billick (above) was playing the percentages? Consider that since 2004, NFL teams have successfully converted 67.1% of fourth-and-one attempts. By contrast, in that same span road teams have won just 46.9% of overtime games. Two years ago Dick Vermeil of the Chiefs went for a TD from one yard out with five seconds left and beat Oakland 27--23.

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