HOW THEY RUN
When looking at Larry Johnson's stats from the last three seasons, the pessimist would point to a steep decline in rushing yards, receptions and touchdowns. The optimist, however, would say that Johnson is better than ever and that he just doesn't get the ball enough. Fact: Johnson's 4.5 yards per carry from 2008 exceed his 4.3 from 2006—the year he rushed for 1,789 yards and had 19 total touchdowns. Also, with backup Jamaal Charles destined for 1,300-total-yard seasons in the not-too-distant future, Johnson doesn't need to tote the rock 400 times anymore. So while both have their points, the pessimist eventually wins out, because fantasy-land is a bottom-line game, and Johnson's bottom line says diminishing production. But as long as he's his typically stout self in the red zone, that will keep him playable.
HOW THEY PASS
Kansas City has three solid, interchangeable receivers to complement Dwayne Bowe, who could experience a Roddy White-like bump if the Chiefs throw as much, and as successfully, as the Cardinals did last season when Todd Haley, now K.C.'s new head coach, was calling the plays. (The Chiefs have been pretty tight-lipped about the offense.) On the flip side new quarterback Matt Cassel must prove he is more than a Josh McDaniels creation, and NFL defenses will never double-team tight end Brad Cottam the way they did Tony Gonzalez.
It's likely that not one Chief will crack the top 25 in drafts, with the rising Bowe and LJ coming off the board first. Charles is a sleeper, and Cassel's the quintessential feast-or-famine risk. In the end, the Chiefs are locks to experience maddening bouts of inconsistency with a new quarterback running the show.