Who'll move up, who'll move down—and who'll come out on top when the checkered flag flies at Homestead
1. Jimmie Johnson
Regular-season finish 3rd
Wins 3 / Top 5s 9 / Top 10s 15
Best at Phoenix
Worst at Talladega
Are you ready for some history? People keep trying not to make him the favorite, and every year he just keeps winning. The fact is, with the resetting of the standings, the Chase perfectly suits the strategy of Johnson and crew chief Chad Knaus, who spend the regular season preparing to dominate the final 10 races. On tracks that will be in the Chase, Johnson's average finish in 2009 was 8.6.
2. Tony Stewart
Regular-season finish 1st
Wins 3 / Top 5s 13 / Top 10s 18