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With four races left in the regular season, here are the four top contenders for the wild-card spots in the Chase. (Along with the top 10 in points, the two drivers between 11th and 20th with the most wins make the playoff field.)
Brad Keselowski 14th in points, two victories
If Keselowski (below) can simply avoid a DNF over the next month, he'll be in the Chase.
Denny Hamlin 12th, one win
As long as Menard or Ragan doesn't win again, Hamlin should be in, even if he doesn't win another race.
Paul Menard 15th, one win
Menard's only hope is to take another checkered flag. His best shot? On Aug. 27 at Bristol.
David Ragan 23rd, one win
One spot behind Marcos Ambrose, Ragan should be strong on Sunday at Michigan, where he's led laps in four of his last seven starts.