In 136 career starts in the Sprint Cup series, the 22-year-old Logano has only two wins. Could he surprise on Saturday night and make it three? Uh, no. In seven career starts at RIR, he has one top 10, and in his last two tries he has an average finish of 29.5. Maybe next year.
Winless drivers Carl Edwards (14th) and Paul Menard (15th) could sneak in by taking the checkered flag at RIR, but they would also have to pass every one-win driver ahead of them in the standings. However, if 10th-place Tony Stewart (three wins) totally tanks at RIR, he'd take the second wild card, and whichever driver replaced him in the top 10 would make the Chase regardless of who wins on Saturday.