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Modest Proposal
April 01, 2013
With the Reds electing to keep Aroldis Chapman in the bullpen, they now have a $21 million commitment over the next three seasons to Jonathan Broxton to be a setup man. Despite Broxton's hefty paycheck, though, the team should be cautious with the hefty righthander. One-inning relievers are expected to strike out 25% of the batters they face. In 2012, a year after elbow and shoulder pain blew up his '11 season, Broxton struck out 19% (though his rate was 23% in 25 appearances with Cincinnati after a July trade from the Royals). Broxton's fastball has lost two to three mph in recent years, and though he is inducing more ground balls (more than half the balls put in play off him last year), he doesn't seem cut out for the highest-leverage spots. The Reds have better bullpen options in Sean Marshall, Sam LeCure and J.J. Hoover. Broxton's salary and career saves total won't help the Reds win the division if he can't miss bats in 2013, so Dusty Baker should be ready to downgrade Broxton's role even further.
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April 01, 2013

Modest Proposal

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With the Reds electing to keep Aroldis Chapman in the bullpen, they now have a $21 million commitment over the next three seasons to Jonathan Broxton to be a setup man. Despite Broxton's hefty paycheck, though, the team should be cautious with the hefty righthander. One-inning relievers are expected to strike out 25% of the batters they face. In 2012, a year after elbow and shoulder pain blew up his '11 season, Broxton struck out 19% (though his rate was 23% in 25 appearances with Cincinnati after a July trade from the Royals). Broxton's fastball has lost two to three mph in recent years, and though he is inducing more ground balls (more than half the balls put in play off him last year), he doesn't seem cut out for the highest-leverage spots. The Reds have better bullpen options in Sean Marshall, Sam LeCure and J.J. Hoover. Broxton's salary and career saves total won't help the Reds win the division if he can't miss bats in 2013, so Dusty Baker should be ready to downgrade Broxton's role even further.

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