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Modest Proposal
April 01, 2013
Statheads praised Toronto's rehire of manager John Gibbons—he held the job from 2004 to '08—in part because he was good about not wasting outs during his previous tenure. In his three full seasons (2005--07), the Blue Jays were 11th in the AL in steals, 11th in stolen base attempts and 12th in sacrifice bunts. With this team, though, Gibbons should take a page from his predecessor's book. John Farrell, now managing Boston, liked to run: The Jays were fourth in the AL in steals and attempts in his two seasons as manager. Gibbons inherits Rajai Davis (223 career steals, 78% success rate) and off-season imports Jose Reyes (410, 80%), Emilio Bonifacio (110, 80%) and Maicer Izturis (91, 76%). The high efficiency of these speedsters allows Gibbons to turn them loose—they should add bases (and runs) without costing many outs. Despite the stereotype, sabermetricians don't hate the stolen base; they hate inefficiency. In this case, Gibbons has the players to use the running game to his advantage.
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April 01, 2013

Modest Proposal

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Statheads praised Toronto's rehire of manager John Gibbons—he held the job from 2004 to '08—in part because he was good about not wasting outs during his previous tenure. In his three full seasons (2005--07), the Blue Jays were 11th in the AL in steals, 11th in stolen base attempts and 12th in sacrifice bunts. With this team, though, Gibbons should take a page from his predecessor's book. John Farrell, now managing Boston, liked to run: The Jays were fourth in the AL in steals and attempts in his two seasons as manager. Gibbons inherits Rajai Davis (223 career steals, 78% success rate) and off-season imports Jose Reyes (410, 80%), Emilio Bonifacio (110, 80%) and Maicer Izturis (91, 76%). The high efficiency of these speedsters allows Gibbons to turn them loose—they should add bases (and runs) without costing many outs. Despite the stereotype, sabermetricians don't hate the stolen base; they hate inefficiency. In this case, Gibbons has the players to use the running game to his advantage.

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