Is FIFA giving special treatment?

With World Cup qualifying wrapping up very soon, a potential nightmare scenario lies ahead for FIFA:

Imagine a World Cup without the two best players in the world, Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi. And not just them, but Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Franck Ribéry, Luka Modric and Michael Ballack, too.

Heck, make it simple: Imagine a World Cup without Germany, Croatia, France, Portugal, Sweden, Argentina and Nigeria.

Because that's the worst-case scenario facing FIFA and, just as importantly, the sponsors. And it's really not that far-fetched. Either Sweden or Portugal -- and perhaps both -- almost certainly won't make it as far as the playoffs between UEFA's second-place finishers. And, if one of them gets there, it will need to get through 180 minutes unscathed, which is far from guaranteed.

Over in Africa, Nigeria doesn't control its own destiny: It could win its final two group matches and still go out. In South America, Argentina is walking a tightrope. It's desperately hanging on to the fifth and final place in CONMEBOL qualifying, just one point ahead of Venezuela and Uruguay. And -- guess what? -- Argentina's final game is away to Uruguay.

Of course, cynics and conspiracy theorists -- of which there are plenty -- will tell you that, no matter what the numbers say now, it simply won't happen. The powers that be will find a way for it not to happen.

You don't want to believe them. And, generally speaking, you don't. Until, of course, something comes along to plant a seed of doubt in your mind. Like what happened last week in Rio de Janeiro.

FIFA boss Sepp Blatter explained the procedure for the playoffs in the UEFA qualifying zone. Europe gets 13 slots in the World Cup. Qualification features nine groups, with each winner advancing automatically to South Africa. Of the nine teams that finish second in each group, eight go into the playoffs and one is eliminated. Blatter illustrated just how those playoff pairings would be determined.

"We have decided on seeding the teams in two groups of four, taking the FIFA world rankings into account, with the top four in one pot and the other four in another pot," said Blatter.

What this basically means is that, rather than having an open draw, each the four strongest nations (based on the European rankings) will face one of the weaker nations. It's entirely possible, for example, that Germany, Portugal, Croatia and France all will have to go through the playoffs. Rather than cannibalizing each other, they probably will face the likes of Slovenia, Bosnia, Norway or Ireland (or somebody else of a comparable level).